#特朗普加密货币政策新方向 Powell's latest statement has doused the market with cold water—December rate cut? Don't bet too early. The internal divisions within the Fed are obvious, and we are far from the stage of making systematic adjustments to the Interest Rate.

The current situation is quite delicate: the market had previously bet on a high probability of interest rate cuts, but now it has been directly pushed back to a fifty-fifty chance. The stock market and risk assets are also fluctuating together, and those who were shouting about a "certain trend" should wake up.

The predicament that the Fed is facing right now is very real - employment data is starting to cool down, but inflation indicators haven't budged. What will the next policy move be? To put it simply, it depends on how the subsequent economic data evolves. What makes it trickier is that the government shutdown has hindered the release of key reports like CPI and non-farm employment. Making decisions in the face of unclear data is indeed like driving with your eyes closed.

Wall Street is adjusting its expectations. Powell's recent actions have effectively dragged the market from a "certainty trade" into a "data-dependent mode". For the crypto market, this means that volatility may continue to amplify.

Let's be realistic: don't let a single piece of news sway you. Focus on key indicators like inflation data and employment reports; they are the core variables that influence Fed actions. Now is not the time to gamble based on feelings; you need to adjust your positions according to the rhythm of the data.

The Fed's steering wheel is now in the hands of economic data, and traders need to stay clear-headed and not let emotions replace judgment. The market has entered a wait-and-see period, and being patient to let the data speak is the right path.