# Crypto Assets Market December 2, 2025: Brief Overview and 5 Predictions

# Current Status ( Morning December 2 UTC)
- BTC: Daily ~$85 000 (−6%, YTD ) −9%
- Ether: every day $2 ~(780 )−8%
- Total Market Cap: <$2.5 trillion
- Declining leaders: XRP -12%, BNB -10%, SOL -9%
- Crypto Assets stocks: COIN -4%, HOOD -5%, MSTR -10%
# Main Causes of Collapse
1. The Shift in Yen Arbitrage Trading ( The Bank of Japan is preparing to raise interest rates )
2. Global bond sell-off → Risk aversion sentiment
3. Lack of clarity regarding the timing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
4. Weak November + Seasonal Volatility in December
5 predictions for the next 4 weeks ( until 2025)
1. **BTC**
Short-term rebound to $90–92k within 7–10 days ( RSI oversold, support $84k maintain ).
Probability: 70%
2. Ether
Test $2 500–$2 600 in the next few days, then return above $3 000 on December 31.
Probability: 65%
3. **Total Market Capitalization**
In the next 72 hours, it will drop below $2 trillion, and then stabilize.
Probability: 85%
4. **alternative coin**
After BTC stabilized: XRP, INJ, TON, and meme coins rose 20-40% in a week.
Probability: 60%
5. **BTC on December 31, 2025**
Year-end closing in the range $98 000 – $105 000 ( institutional purchases + New Year market ).
Probability: 55%
Summary: It is now a deep correction, not the beginning of a bear market. December will remain volatile, but the probability of closing the year in the green is over 50%.