#美联储重启降息步伐 Kevin O'Leary's take is pretty interesting this time—while the market is betting on a rate cut in December, he's going the other way. What's more, he thinks that even if a rate cut does happen, Bitcoin won't skyrocket; a 5% swing either way is probably the most we'll see.

But market sentiment isn't playing by those rules at all. According to a certain data platform, the probability of a rate cut is as high as 89%, and this expectation has pushed BTC up from $83,000 to above $93,000. Right now, the price is stuck in a tug-of-war between the $90,000 support and $92,500 resistance. Some traders are saying: once it holds above $92,500, we might see $94,000 or even $95,000 very soon.

So why is O'Leary being so cautious? He's focused on inflation data—the US CPI is still rising, and the Fed doesn't dare make any rash moves. That said, the Fed recently injected $13 billion in liquidity into the short-term funding market, which has definitely gotten the crypto crowd's attention.

To sum it up, there are just two things to watch this week: the direction of liquidity and the Fed's tone at their meeting. If BTC breaks above $92,500, follow the bulls; if it falls below $90,000, be patient and wait for another opportunity. That's just how the market works.