[Bitpush] Wall Street giants have recently thrown some cold water on the market—J.P. Morgan’s strategy team believes that the current rally in US stocks may not last much longer.
Their logic is straightforward: right now, the market has already fully priced in expectations of Fed rate cuts, and stock prices have returned to high ranges. In this situation, investors are more likely to lock in profits before the end of the year rather than continue to increase their positions and bet on further gains. After all, everything that should have gone up has already risen, and all the expectations have been priced in.
However, looking at a longer time frame, J.P. Morgan remains relatively optimistic about the mid-term outlook. They listed several supporting factors: the Fed’s dovish stance is the baseline; low oil prices, cooling wage growth, and easing US tariff pressures all provide the central bank with room to loosen monetary policy without having to worry too much about an inflation rebound. Looking further to 2026, easing trade tensions, an economic rebound in Asia, fiscal stimulus in the Eurozone, and the accelerated adoption of AI technology in the US could all become new drivers.
Simply put, it’s short-term caution but medium-term optimism—a classic Wall Street style.
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ImpermanentLossFan
· 2h ago
Basically, it's short-term manipulation, smashing at the end of the year, then continuing to rise next year.
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The rate cut expectations are already priced in, what’s the point of still going up? Just wait for a pullback to buy in.
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I'm tired of JPMorgan's rhetoric; short-term bearish and medium-term bullish, none of which are wrong.
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The key is, is there really that much room for rate cuts? Feels like the Federal Reserve has to cover everything.
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AI warming up, Asian economies picking up... what is 2026 even about? Let's just hope to survive until next year first.
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TopEscapeArtist
· 12-10 16:14
Yet another story of catching the top. MACD hasn't even formed a golden cross, yet everyone claims a bullish mid-term outlook? With such poor technicals, how can they be so optimistic? That's really bold.
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ContractFreelancer
· 12-10 07:17
There is indeed pressure in the short term, but I have heard this logic of JPMorgan Chase too many times, and the profits that should be eaten have long been eaten, and now the bullish is to beat the leeks behind
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rugpull_ptsd
· 12-09 18:16
A short-term pullback is reasonable, but to be honest, we've been hearing this narrative for over a year. The key still depends on what the Fed actually does.
Is it really different this time, or is it the same old routine?
If everything is already priced in, let's just sit back and wait for the AI story to unfold, and make a judgment in 2026.
It does make sense to take profits before the end of the year, but if there's another rebound, we'll end up chasing again... and so the cycle continues.
JPMorgan says there’s short-term pressure, so just get ready to buy in batches.
Preserving capital is the top priority by year-end—any gains are a bonus.
As always, any mid-term optimism is about what happens two years from now; let’s just survive until next year.
There are plenty of signs of a short-term top—nothing unusual.
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ForeverBuyingDips
· 12-09 06:58
By the way, we really need to be cautious with this wave of high volatility in US stocks—there are definitely going to be quite a few people cutting their losses by year-end.
Since everything’s already priced in, it’s probably time to reduce positions, right? Or do you really want to go all-in again?
The mid-term outlook is positive, but in the short term, the pressure from profit-taking is right here.
The key is still when the Fed will actually start easing; just talking dovishly is useless.
If the trade war eases next year and AI takes off again, then there might be some hope, but right now, who dares to bet their chips?
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FOMOSapien
· 12-09 06:58
Here we go with the bearish talk again. Every time it’s the same story—what happens in the end? There’s barely any pullback by year-end, and next year it just surges to new highs.
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nft_widow
· 12-09 06:55
You still want to buy the dip after everything has already pumped? The real move is to cash out by the end of the year. Anyway, I’ve already locked in my profits.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-09 06:54
Bullish talk again? I’ve been waiting for year-end profit-taking, just worried I won’t be able to get out fast enough when the time comes.
Short-term bearish, long-term bullish—I've heard this narrative so many times, it’s getting old, haha.
JPMorgan finally said something straightforward. I agree that the rate cut expectations are fully priced in, so it’s definitely time to watch out for a pullback.
2026 is still so far away? I only care about this week’s trend.
A dovish rate-cut stance plus the AI narrative—it’s no wonder this rally is so strong... but isn’t this also the most dangerous time?
Retail investors end up holding the bag, and JPMorgan calls for a top only at the very end. I’ve seen this playbook countless times.
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OnchainDetective
· 12-09 06:32
Oh, I saw through this logic a long time ago. Isn’t JPMorgan’s rhetoric just the standard “short-term shakeout, mid-term bullish” narrative? According to capital flow tracking, institutions are currently accumulating at low levels.
Short-term profit-taking? It’s obvious—the rate cut expectations have already been priced in, and everything that should be reflected has been reflected. This is a classic washout signal... But the mid-term supporting factors do hold up: dovish stance, low oil prices, and tariff easing. With this combination, the central bank definitely has room to loosen policy.
The description about 2026 is interesting—AI applications and trade easing. The logic chain behind these capital flows is actually quite clear. We really need to dig deeper into the real positioning directions of institutions.
JPMorgan: U.S. stocks may face short-term profit-taking pressure, but the mid-term outlook remains bullish
[Bitpush] Wall Street giants have recently thrown some cold water on the market—J.P. Morgan’s strategy team believes that the current rally in US stocks may not last much longer.
Their logic is straightforward: right now, the market has already fully priced in expectations of Fed rate cuts, and stock prices have returned to high ranges. In this situation, investors are more likely to lock in profits before the end of the year rather than continue to increase their positions and bet on further gains. After all, everything that should have gone up has already risen, and all the expectations have been priced in.
However, looking at a longer time frame, J.P. Morgan remains relatively optimistic about the mid-term outlook. They listed several supporting factors: the Fed’s dovish stance is the baseline; low oil prices, cooling wage growth, and easing US tariff pressures all provide the central bank with room to loosen monetary policy without having to worry too much about an inflation rebound. Looking further to 2026, easing trade tensions, an economic rebound in Asia, fiscal stimulus in the Eurozone, and the accelerated adoption of AI technology in the US could all become new drivers.
Simply put, it’s short-term caution but medium-term optimism—a classic Wall Street style.