$ETH #参与创作者认证计划月领$10,000 Overall Trend: Today, ETH first surged to 3396 USDT before pulling back. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 3312.27 USDT, down about 2.5% from the intraday high, which constitutes a technical correction after the rally.
- Candlestick Pattern: On the 4-hour chart, a bearish combination has formed with several consecutive small red candles, and the price has fallen below the MA8 (3321.51 USDT), indicating weakening short-term bullish momentum. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands (3324.35 USDT) has become the key resistance level, while the lower band (3300 USDT) serves as immediate support.
- Indicator Signals:
- MACD: DIF and DEA have formed a death cross, the histogram has turned red and is expanding, indicating the release of bearish strength;
- KDJ: The J value has dropped to 17.65, entering the oversold zone, while the K value (40.60) and D value (52.07) are diverging downward, suggesting a short-term oversold rebound is needed, but the overall trend remains bearish;
- RSI: The 6-period RSI (38.76) is near 40, and the 12/24-period RSI is also declining, indicating a generally neutral to weak status.
- Trend Forecast: In the short term, there is a high probability of consolidation within the 3300-3367 USDT range. If 3300 USDT is broken, it may further test 3250 USDT; if it can reclaim 3367 USDT, it may retest the intraday high.
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$ETH #参与创作者认证计划月领$10,000 Overall Trend: Today, ETH first surged to 3396 USDT before pulling back. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 3312.27 USDT, down about 2.5% from the intraday high, which constitutes a technical correction after the rally.
- Candlestick Pattern: On the 4-hour chart, a bearish combination has formed with several consecutive small red candles, and the price has fallen below the MA8 (3321.51 USDT), indicating weakening short-term bullish momentum. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands (3324.35 USDT) has become the key resistance level, while the lower band (3300 USDT) serves as immediate support.
- Indicator Signals:
- MACD: DIF and DEA have formed a death cross, the histogram has turned red and is expanding, indicating the release of bearish strength;
- KDJ: The J value has dropped to 17.65, entering the oversold zone, while the K value (40.60) and D value (52.07) are diverging downward, suggesting a short-term oversold rebound is needed, but the overall trend remains bearish;
- RSI: The 6-period RSI (38.76) is near 40, and the 12/24-period RSI is also declining, indicating a generally neutral to weak status.
2. Key Levels and Trend Forecast
- Support: 3300 USDT (Bollinger Bands lower band + previous take-profit level), 3249.86 USDT (MA60);
- Resistance: 3367 USDT (previous stop-loss level), 3396 USDT (intraday high);
- Trend Forecast: In the short term, there is a high probability of consolidation within the 3300-3367 USDT range. If 3300 USDT is broken, it may further test 3250 USDT; if it can reclaim 3367 USDT, it may retest the intraday high.