💹 #人民币 Sudden rebound: Returning to the 6 range is almost a certainty!


This round of RMB strength is not mysterious at all; fundamentally, it’s about the “three logics” 👇
🇨🇳🇺🇸 1️⃣ Both China and the US need it: exchange rates have become the quietest “adjustment valve”
The US-China trade surplus remains huge, but neither side is willing to significantly cut tariffs.
So what to do? — Use the exchange rate to solve it.
RMB appreciation = easing US trade deficit pressure
RMB appreciation = maintaining China’s export competitiveness
Recent frequent calls between Xi and Biden are paving the way for this round of adjustment
This is the easiest, least confrontational, and most effective approach.
💰 2️⃣ Giving Chinese “silent raises”
To put it bluntly: for the economy to stabilize, confidence must be maintained first.
What are the benefits of a strong RMB?
Travel abroad cheaper
Global shopping cheaper
Global asset allocation more affordable
Middle-class purchasing power directly enhanced
More importantly — the RMB has been undervalued for a long time, and according to purchasing power parity, its true level is close to 1:3.
This round of appreciation is just returning to a reasonable range, not overshooting.
📈 3️⃣ Nominal GDP is directly “lifted”
Many people don’t know:
Every 1% RMB appreciation immediately raises China’s nominal GDP.
This means:
International rankings improve instantly
Global capital perceptions improve
National credit and rating systems are all upgraded
This is the world’s cheapest and fastest “national power booster”.
💡 To sum up in one sentence:
This is not short-term fluctuation but a structural appreciation cycle.
The RMB returning to the 6 range — it’s only a matter of time.
#美联储降息预测
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