I recently reviewed Kite's progress and suddenly realized a problem: the trouble it currently faces might not be just a simple price correction.
It's more like being stuck at the brink of life and death for the public chain—whether it can truly increase the real usage density on the chain. This can't be solved by just shouting slogans; it depends on whether actual behavioral data will speak for itself.
During a bull market, such issues are easily masked. Everyone's sentiment is high, and even underlying vulnerabilities are often overlooked. But once the hype subsides and growth stalls, these structural flaws gradually become apparent. Kite happens to be at this critical juncture.
To put it simply, a public chain wants to survive, it must pass two hurdles:
**First hurdle**: Can it convert early believers attracted by vision into users who actually do work on the chain? **Second hurdle**: Can the behaviors of these users form a self-sustaining cycle? Instead of just running one campaign and then returning to zero after it ends.
Where is Kite stuck now? I think it’s right in the middle—the stage that’s neither purely about making grand promises nor fully entering the active usage phase.
Look at what it’s doing: cross-chain payment modules, Agent scheduling framework, wallet integration, ecosystem partnerships, task incentive systems… Each of these is quite complete on its own. But the problem is, once these components are built, there’s actually only one variable that can truly drive on-chain activity:
**Is the Agent continuously executing tasks?**
This indicator, you can't fake.
It’s easy to generate a spike in traffic with a beta test, but...
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NewPumpamentals
· 12-10 23:50
That's so right. Kite is just demonstrating technology, but users haven't caught up.
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No matter how powerful this framework is, without real interaction data, it's just a paper tiger.
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Agent executing tasks... sounds great, but in reality, most people are still watching, few are actually using it.
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I've seen too many cases where the project falls apart right after launch; this kind of routine is all too common.
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The endgame of public chains is testing whether they can retain real users. As for Kite, it doesn't seem to be doing too well in this regard currently.
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Instead of just optimizing the framework, it's better to understand users' real needs first.
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Bull markets hide problems, but bear markets reveal the true nature. What does the current exposure of Kite tell us?
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Cross-chain payments, wallet integrations... none of these are as important as an ecosystem that can sustain itself.
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Data speaks for itself. I just want to see the real on-chain activity numbers for Kite.
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Being caught in the middle is the toughest; you can’t ride two horses at once.
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NightAirdropper
· 12-10 23:47
It just sounds like a mid-life crisis... piling up a bunch of features, but user activity still isn't good enough.
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Layer3Dreamer
· 12-10 23:40
theoretically speaking, if we map kite's cross-chain architecture onto a recursive state verification model... the real bottleneck isn't the infra, it's whether agents can actually bootstrap genuine usage density without external incentive pressure. kind of like watching a rollup that hasn't figured out its own settlement layer yet, ngl.
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VitalikFanboy42
· 12-10 23:36
Exactly right, this is the curse of all L1s. No matter how advanced the toolset is, if no one uses it, it's just an ornament.
That part of Agent is indeed its lifeline; data doesn't lie.
Should Kite take a gamble? It feels a bit risky.
Not many can survive this round.
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GhostChainLoyalist
· 12-10 23:27
You're absolutely right; false prosperity always gets exposed in the end, and data will speak for itself.
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Whether the Agent can truly run is the key; what's the point of constantly promoting a complete ecosystem?
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Being stuck in the middle is the most awkward position, not deceiving newcomers nor retaining old users.
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It's always said that resetting after the event ends is reasonable, but can Kite really become different this time?
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I'm tired of fake peaks; real usage density is the only measure.
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Cross-chain payments, Agent framework, ecosystem cooperation… They all sound right, but the question is, who is really using them?
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Public chains without real usage are like being naked; no matter how much marketing you do, it’s hard to look good.
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The core issue with Kite is still user retention; if the activity ends and everything resets, then stop messing around.
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The two-pass theory sounds good, but I think it hasn’t even touched the first level yet.
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I support the idea of self-circulation; otherwise, it’s just an illusion maintained by endless burning of money.
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I get that data can’t be faked, but the real question is, are they willing to make the data public?
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Getting stuck in the middle is the worst; not pure newbies nor truly active ecosystems.
I recently reviewed Kite's progress and suddenly realized a problem: the trouble it currently faces might not be just a simple price correction.
It's more like being stuck at the brink of life and death for the public chain—whether it can truly increase the real usage density on the chain. This can't be solved by just shouting slogans; it depends on whether actual behavioral data will speak for itself.
During a bull market, such issues are easily masked. Everyone's sentiment is high, and even underlying vulnerabilities are often overlooked. But once the hype subsides and growth stalls, these structural flaws gradually become apparent. Kite happens to be at this critical juncture.
To put it simply, a public chain wants to survive, it must pass two hurdles:
**First hurdle**: Can it convert early believers attracted by vision into users who actually do work on the chain?
**Second hurdle**: Can the behaviors of these users form a self-sustaining cycle? Instead of just running one campaign and then returning to zero after it ends.
Where is Kite stuck now? I think it’s right in the middle—the stage that’s neither purely about making grand promises nor fully entering the active usage phase.
Look at what it’s doing: cross-chain payment modules, Agent scheduling framework, wallet integration, ecosystem partnerships, task incentive systems… Each of these is quite complete on its own. But the problem is, once these components are built, there’s actually only one variable that can truly drive on-chain activity:
**Is the Agent continuously executing tasks?**
This indicator, you can't fake.
It’s easy to generate a spike in traffic with a beta test, but...