#加密生态动态追踪 Will Japan's rate hike trigger a financial storm? This claim is unfounded.

Since early 2024, the Bank of Japan has been pushing its rate hike cycle, completing four rounds of operations by January this year, raising the interest rate from -0.1% to 0.5%. Rate hikes have been ongoing for two years, and for those funds engaging in carry trade arbitrage, there’s no need to wait for a specific moment to exit. They should have already looked for opportunities to withdraw. Why wait until everyone else rushes out at the same time? Logically, that doesn’t make sense.

Looking at the scale of funds. According to industry estimates, this arbitrage capital amounts to about $20 trillion. In the context of the global financial markets, this is just a drop in the bucket. Can this liquidity really cause a storm? That's an over-interpretation. Every trading cycle brings various risk theories, but in this era of information explosion, we must learn to distinguish genuine signals from false alarms. Topics in finance should be handled with caution—don’t believe everything you hear, and avoid spreading baseless rumors.

The market is always testing expectations. Well-thought-out strategies are often more stable than following the crowd blindly.