#美联储货币政策变化 This news is indeed worth paying attention to. Hayes's analysis is quite interesting, but I think it’s a bit too extreme. A 30% decline is unlikely to happen in the short term unless there is a black swan event. However, the risk points he mentioned do exist. I recommend being more cautious when following his signals, closely monitoring Tether's asset situation and Federal Reserve policy changes. You can consider moderate position reduction or hedging, but don’t completely give up on opportunities. After all, the market is always full of uncertainties, and being overly pessimistic might cause you to miss potential gains. The key is to adjust your strategy at any time and manage risks properly.