This is a very important and core issue. In the crypto derivatives market, "cognition" is your only moat, directly determining whether you become "fuel" or a minority winner.
Improving derivative cognition is not about learning a few indicators, but about establishing a complete system from macro to micro, from psychology to execution. Here is the layered progression path:
1. Basic Layer: Understand Your Battlefield (Avoid Foolish Mistakes)
1. The essence of derivatives is "gambling" and "leverage": · You are not "investing" in an asset, but "trading" price fluctuations and probabilities. Leverage amplifies gains and losses, and also magnifies human weaknesses. · Deeply understand funding rates, margin, liquidation price, and mark price. These are your weapons and armor. Don't go to battle if you don't understand them. 2. Risk First, Profit Second: · Single trade loss limit principle: in any trade, maximum loss must not exceed 1%-2% of total funds. This is an iron law. · Total position risk exposure: do not expose excessively high risk across multiple trades simultaneously. · "Surviving" is 100 times more important than "making quick money." One liquidation to zero ends the game.
2. Technical Layer: Build Market Reading Ability (Seek Probability Advantage)
1. Go beyond indicators, understand structure: · Don't indulge in searching for the "Holy Grail Indicator." Learn market structure: identify support/resistance, high and low points (HL/HH), trendlines, channels. This is the skeleton of the market. · Master volume analysis (Volume Profile, Order Flow): prices can deceive, but volume is harder to fake. Identify true breakouts with increased volume and false signals with decreasing volume. 2. Multi-timeframe analysis: · "Use larger timeframes to set direction, smaller timeframes to find entry points." Look at trends on daily/weekly charts, find entry timing on 1H/4H charts, manage trades on 15-minute charts. · Avoid "seeing only the trees and not the forest." 3. Understand Market Participants and Narratives: · The crypto space is driven by "narratives" and "liquidity." Know what story the current market is telling (ETF, halving, Layer2, Meme season, etc.). · Pay attention to whale addresses, exchange flow, fear/greed index, and feel the market sentiment.
3. Strategy Layer: Build Your Trading System (From Random to Ordered)
1. Systematize, eliminate emotions: · A complete system includes: Market analysis → Entry conditions → Position sizing → Stop-loss setting → Take-profit strategy → Exit conditions. · Write down your rules and execute them like a machine. Your system must be validated through historical data (backtest) and simulated trading. 2. Diversify Strategy Cognition: · Trend following: follow the trend in clear trend environments, "eat the fish" in the middle of the trend. · Range trading: buy low and sell high within consolidation zones. · Breakout trading: wait for key levels to be broken and follow up. · No strategy is forever effective, only the ones that fit the current market conditions.
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This is a very important and core issue. In the crypto derivatives market, "cognition" is your only moat, directly determining whether you become "fuel" or a minority winner.
Improving derivative cognition is not about learning a few indicators, but about establishing a complete system from macro to micro, from psychology to execution. Here is the layered progression path:
1. Basic Layer: Understand Your Battlefield (Avoid Foolish Mistakes)
1. The essence of derivatives is "gambling" and "leverage":
· You are not "investing" in an asset, but "trading" price fluctuations and probabilities. Leverage amplifies gains and losses, and also magnifies human weaknesses.
· Deeply understand funding rates, margin, liquidation price, and mark price. These are your weapons and armor. Don't go to battle if you don't understand them.
2. Risk First, Profit Second:
· Single trade loss limit principle: in any trade, maximum loss must not exceed 1%-2% of total funds. This is an iron law.
· Total position risk exposure: do not expose excessively high risk across multiple trades simultaneously.
· "Surviving" is 100 times more important than "making quick money." One liquidation to zero ends the game.
2. Technical Layer: Build Market Reading Ability (Seek Probability Advantage)
1. Go beyond indicators, understand structure:
· Don't indulge in searching for the "Holy Grail Indicator." Learn market structure: identify support/resistance, high and low points (HL/HH), trendlines, channels. This is the skeleton of the market.
· Master volume analysis (Volume Profile, Order Flow): prices can deceive, but volume is harder to fake. Identify true breakouts with increased volume and false signals with decreasing volume.
2. Multi-timeframe analysis:
· "Use larger timeframes to set direction, smaller timeframes to find entry points." Look at trends on daily/weekly charts, find entry timing on 1H/4H charts, manage trades on 15-minute charts.
· Avoid "seeing only the trees and not the forest."
3. Understand Market Participants and Narratives:
· The crypto space is driven by "narratives" and "liquidity." Know what story the current market is telling (ETF, halving, Layer2, Meme season, etc.).
· Pay attention to whale addresses, exchange flow, fear/greed index, and feel the market sentiment.
3. Strategy Layer: Build Your Trading System (From Random to Ordered)
1. Systematize, eliminate emotions:
· A complete system includes: Market analysis → Entry conditions → Position sizing → Stop-loss setting → Take-profit strategy → Exit conditions.
· Write down your rules and execute them like a machine. Your system must be validated through historical data (backtest) and simulated trading.
2. Diversify Strategy Cognition:
· Trend following: follow the trend in clear trend environments, "eat the fish" in the middle of the trend.
· Range trading: buy low and sell high within consolidation zones.
· Breakout trading: wait for key levels to be broken and follow up.
· No strategy is forever effective, only the ones that fit the current market conditions.