Retail " #Bitcoin " short-term traders gained most in 2025
Will the story repeat in 2026?
🔍 How did this happen despite poor annual performance? The reason is not the overall trend of the price, but the repeated rebounds of #BTC above the cost basis for short-term traders. The cost basis ( Realized Price ) for these traders was around $81,000
Every time the price returns above this level:
Panic stops
Forced sell-offs diminish
And a temporary stabilization phase begins
📉 From panic to recovery At the start of the year: clear profits for traders
February – March: entering with significant losses
From late April to mid-October:
172 days of continuous profitability
Late October: pressure and temporary losses return
And with the recent rebound: Unrealized losses decreased from -28% to -12% This indicates that the capitulation phase has begun to weaken
🔮 What does this mean for the upcoming period? 🔑 The $81,000 level remains the most important psychological point: Staying above it = stability
Losing it = return of temporary pressure
If #البيتكوين maintains trading above this base, then the correction at the end of 2025 might be in its final stages, and we could be facing a new expansion phase in 2026 instead of a collapse.
🧠 #الخلاصة 2025 was volatile, but profitable for the smart trader Profit did not come from big surges, but from repeated rebounds Pressure eases, and panic recedes 2026 may reward those who understand liquidity and timing, not emotion
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Retail " #Bitcoin " short-term traders gained most in 2025
Will the story repeat in 2026?
🔍 How did this happen despite poor annual performance?
The reason is not the overall trend of the price,
but the repeated rebounds of #BTC above the cost basis for short-term traders.
The cost basis ( Realized Price ) for these traders was around $81,000
Every time the price returns above this level:
Panic stops
Forced sell-offs diminish
And a temporary stabilization phase begins
📉 From panic to recovery
At the start of the year: clear profits for traders
February – March: entering with significant losses
From late April to mid-October:
172 days of continuous profitability
Late October: pressure and temporary losses return
And with the recent rebound:
Unrealized losses decreased from -28% to -12%
This indicates that the capitulation phase has begun to weaken
🔮 What does this mean for the upcoming period?
🔑 The $81,000 level remains the most important psychological point:
Staying above it = stability
Losing it = return of temporary pressure
If #البيتكوين maintains trading above this base,
then the correction at the end of 2025 might be in its final stages,
and we could be facing a new expansion phase in 2026 instead of a collapse.
🧠 #الخلاصة
2025 was volatile, but profitable for the smart trader
Profit did not come from big surges, but from repeated rebounds
Pressure eases, and panic recedes
2026 may reward those who understand liquidity and timing, not emotion
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