Macroeconomic analysts warn of a strong bearish scenario for Bitcoin if the Bank of Japan proceeds with raising interest rates at its upcoming meeting on December 19 — a move historically negative for high-risk assets.
Why is Japan's decision dangerous for the market? Raising interest rates in Japan means tightening liquidity globally Strengthens the Japanese Yen And forces investors to unwind Yen Carry Trades 👉 The usual result: Liquidity outflows, reduced leverage, and direct pressure on Bitcoin.
📉 History is not reassuring According to analyst AndrewBTC data: March 2024: down ~23% July 2024: down ~26% January 2025: down ~31% All occurred after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates. With most economists (according to Reuters) expecting a new hike this month, this scenario is gaining strength.
📊 Technical analysis confirms the risk Bitcoin is currently moving within a Bear Flag pattern (after breaking the 105–110K USD zone. Any clear downward break of the pattern Could push the price directly toward 70,000 – 72,500 USD. Several technical analysts point to the same area as a potential target.
⚠️ Summary Japan tightening = less liquidity Less liquidity = greater pressure on Bitcoin Macro + technical analysis agree on the 70K zone as a real threat This does not mean the end of Bitcoin in the long term, But it means the next phase is very sensitive and requires
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The danger bell is ringing for "Bitcoin"
The markets are holding their breath.
Macroeconomic analysts warn of a strong bearish scenario for Bitcoin if the Bank of Japan proceeds with raising interest rates at its upcoming meeting on December 19 — a move historically negative for high-risk assets.
Why is Japan's decision dangerous for the market?
Raising interest rates in Japan means tightening liquidity globally
Strengthens the Japanese Yen
And forces investors to unwind Yen Carry Trades
👉 The usual result:
Liquidity outflows, reduced leverage, and direct pressure on Bitcoin.
📉 History is not reassuring
According to analyst AndrewBTC data:
March 2024: down ~23%
July 2024: down ~26%
January 2025: down ~31%
All occurred after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates.
With most economists (according to Reuters) expecting a new hike this month, this scenario is gaining strength.
📊 Technical analysis confirms the risk
Bitcoin is currently moving within a Bear Flag pattern (after breaking the 105–110K USD zone.
Any clear downward break of the pattern
Could push the price directly toward 70,000 – 72,500 USD.
Several technical analysts point to the same area as a potential target.
⚠️ Summary
Japan tightening = less liquidity
Less liquidity = greater pressure on Bitcoin
Macro + technical analysis agree on the 70K zone as a real threat
This does not mean the end of Bitcoin in the long term,
But it means the next phase is very sensitive and requires