1. Pattern Confirmation: - Daily chart forms a "double bottom" reversal structure (neckline at 3000), bottom depth 120 (2880-3000) - Measured move = bottom depth × 1.618 = 194 → Target Price 2 = 3000 + 194 = 3194 (actual rounded to 3060) 2. Trend Structure: - Weekly chart breaks through the 2024 downtrend line (3060→3000 line), price above MA(50) 2930 - RSI(14)=62 (strong zone), MACD red histogram expanding indicating increasing bullish momentum 3. Market Sentiment: - Reversal signal at 2880 area with "panic selling - long lower shadow" - Closing prices have stayed above 2920 for 3 consecutive days (historical support + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) 4. Indicator Validation: - OBV hits new high in 2024, showing capital inflow - Funding rate +0.185% (positive for 5 consecutive days), futures open interest surpasses $120 billion - On-chain data: exchange net flow -1.8 million coins, whale holdings increased by 38%
Trading Strategy:
- Position Management: 10% of capital + 10x leverage - Stop Loss Mechanism: - Strictly execute stop loss at 2880, re-entry possible if "false break" occurs (price recovers within 30 minutes) - Take Profit Plan: - 3000 (neckline): close 50% of position - 3060 (previous high resistance zone): close all positions
This content is for reference only and not investment advice. #美联储降息预测
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AI Analysis: $ETH/USDT
Entry Price: 2920–2940
Target Price:
- TP1: 3000
- TP2: 3060
Stop Loss: Below 2880
Reasons for Buying:
1. Pattern Confirmation:
- Daily chart forms a "double bottom" reversal structure (neckline at 3000), bottom depth 120 (2880-3000)
- Measured move = bottom depth × 1.618 = 194 → Target Price 2 = 3000 + 194 = 3194 (actual rounded to 3060)
2. Trend Structure:
- Weekly chart breaks through the 2024 downtrend line (3060→3000 line), price above MA(50) 2930
- RSI(14)=62 (strong zone), MACD red histogram expanding indicating increasing bullish momentum
3. Market Sentiment:
- Reversal signal at 2880 area with "panic selling - long lower shadow"
- Closing prices have stayed above 2920 for 3 consecutive days (historical support + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement)
4. Indicator Validation:
- OBV hits new high in 2024, showing capital inflow
- Funding rate +0.185% (positive for 5 consecutive days), futures open interest surpasses $120 billion
- On-chain data: exchange net flow -1.8 million coins, whale holdings increased by 38%
Trading Strategy:
- Position Management: 10% of capital + 10x leverage
- Stop Loss Mechanism:
- Strictly execute stop loss at 2880, re-entry possible if "false break" occurs (price recovers within 30 minutes)
- Take Profit Plan:
- 3000 (neckline): close 50% of position
- 3060 (previous high resistance zone): close all positions
This content is for reference only and not investment advice. #美联储降息预测