#美联储货币政策变化 This employment data is really crucial this time. The Federal Reserve is meeting next week, but the official non-farm payroll and inflation data happen to be absent. Tonight's "Mini Non-Farm" and other employment indicators have become the market's lifeline. I need to keep a close eye on these data points, as they are likely to trigger significant volatility.
However, to be honest, the market seems to be quite confident about a rate cut. The probability of a 25 basis point cut in December on Polymarket is as high as 94%, which is no joke. But I still need to stay vigilant, as market sentiment can change unpredictably.
In the coming days, I will closely monitor the movements of several top traders. Their interpretations of employment data and position adjustments might give me some insights. Of course, ultimately, I have to rely on my own judgment. After all, copying trades is also a skill, and I need to consider my own risk preferences when choosing.
In summary, I need to be fully alert for this wave of market movements. Opportunities and risks coexist, and I hope to seize the dividends brought by this tide.
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#美联储货币政策变化 This employment data is really crucial this time. The Federal Reserve is meeting next week, but the official non-farm payroll and inflation data happen to be absent. Tonight's "Mini Non-Farm" and other employment indicators have become the market's lifeline. I need to keep a close eye on these data points, as they are likely to trigger significant volatility.
However, to be honest, the market seems to be quite confident about a rate cut. The probability of a 25 basis point cut in December on Polymarket is as high as 94%, which is no joke. But I still need to stay vigilant, as market sentiment can change unpredictably.
In the coming days, I will closely monitor the movements of several top traders. Their interpretations of employment data and position adjustments might give me some insights. Of course, ultimately, I have to rely on my own judgment. After all, copying trades is also a skill, and I need to consider my own risk preferences when choosing.
In summary, I need to be fully alert for this wave of market movements. Opportunities and risks coexist, and I hope to seize the dividends brought by this tide.