#市场触底了吗？

‍#成长值抽奖赢金条和精美周边
‍$ETH $BTC $GT The current ETH price is approximately 2830. Short-term volatility is weak, mainly trading rebounds for short positions and pulling back for low buys. Strictly follow a 2:1 profit-to-loss ratio.
Each trade aims for about 30 points profit with a 15-point stop loss, using small positions (≤10%) to strictly control risk.

I. Long Strategy (Low Buy)

- Entry Conditions: 4-hour support held at 2780 + 1-hour RSI<30 with divergence + 15-minute EMA golden cross / volume increase confirmed by bullish candle

- Entry Price: 2795-2800

- Stop Loss: 2780 (15-20 points, risk manageable)

- Take Profit: 2820-2825 (30 points, profit/loss ratio ≥2:1)

- Cycle Signals:
- 15-minute: Wait for EMA12 to cross above EMA26, RSI>30 turning up, volume breakout above previous high
- 1-hour: RSI rebounds from oversold, MACD green histogram shortens
- 4-hour: Support at 2780 effective, no break below previous low 2789

II. Short Strategy (Rebound Short, Main Strategy)

- Entry Conditions: 4-hour resistance at 2850 + 1-hour RSI>50 with divergence + 15-minute EMA death cross / volume increase confirmed by bearish candle

- Entry Price: 2835-2840

- Stop Loss: 2850-2855 (15 points, risk manageable)

- Take Profit: 2805-2810 (30 points, profit/loss ratio=2:1)

- Cycle Signals:
- 15-minute: EMA12 crosses below EMA26, RSI>50 turning down, volume drops below previous low
- 1-hour: RSI falls from high, MACD red histogram shortens
- 4-hour: Resistance zone at 2850-2900 bears pressure, moving averages in a bearish alignment

III. Key Risk Control and Execution Points

1. Position Management: Single-direction **≤10%** of capital, strictly no heavy positions
2. Signal Priority: 4-hour trend → 1-hour rhythm → 15-minute entry, open trades only after three-cycle resonance
3. Exit Rules:
- Prioritize take profit: close 50% at target, move stop loss to breakeven for remaining half
- Stop loss must be executed: exit immediately when stop loss is hit, no holding through
4. Failure Scenarios:
- Longs: if 4-hour drops below 2780, stop loss immediately
- Shorts: if 4-hour breaks above 2860, stop loss immediately

IV. Rapid Market Response

- If BTC drops below 85,000, ETH also declines. Delay long entries; for shorts, move entry to 2810-2820, stop loss at 2830, take profit at 2780.
- If ETH quickly rebounds above 2860, stop short loss, wait or re-enter short at 2890-2900.