The "Yen Carry Trade" and Bitcoin Volatility The most direct link between the BoJ and Bitcoin is the Yen Carry Trade. For decades, Japan had near-zero or negative interest rates, allowing investors to borrow Yen cheaply and buy high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
The 2025 Context: On December 19, 2025, the BoJ is widely expected to raise interest rates to 0.75%, the highest level in nearly 20 years.
The Crash Pattern: Analysts have noted a striking correlation: Bitcoin has dropped 20–30% following each of the last three BoJ rate hikes (March 2024, July 2024, and January 2025).
The Current Risk: With Bitcoin trading near $85,000–$90,000, a hike-induced "unwind" of carry trades could trigger a correction toward the $70,000 support level as traders sell off risk assets to repay their now-more-expensive Yen loans.
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$BTC
The "Yen Carry Trade" and Bitcoin Volatility
The most direct link between the BoJ and Bitcoin is the Yen Carry Trade. For decades, Japan had near-zero or negative interest rates, allowing investors to borrow Yen cheaply and buy high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
The 2025 Context: On December 19, 2025, the BoJ is widely expected to raise interest rates to 0.75%, the highest level in nearly 20 years.
The Crash Pattern: Analysts have noted a striking correlation: Bitcoin has dropped 20–30% following each of the last three BoJ rate hikes (March 2024, July 2024, and January 2025).
The Current Risk: With Bitcoin trading near $85,000–$90,000, a hike-induced "unwind" of carry trades could trigger a correction toward the $70,000 support level as traders sell off risk assets to repay their now-more-expensive Yen loans.