Tonight is a sleepless night! Two major nuclear bombs about to explode—will the cryptocurrency market really turn upside down?

As usual, brew a strong coffee, keep your eyes open—tonight is destined to be a night of blood and chaos, a “battle night.” The candlestick charts in front of the screen are more exciting than any Hollywood blockbuster—US CPI data and the Bank of Japan decision, two “financial nuclear bombs” detonating in succession. Global macro funds are flowing in the dark, preparing for a massive migration. That surge last night? Just a warm-up for institutional funds. The real life-and-death battle is tonight and tomorrow.

As a seasoned trader who has survived three bull and bear cycles, I’ll break down the underlying logic clearly. Understand this “battlefield intelligence,” and you can at least outrun 90% of retail investors.

First Nuclear Bomb: Tonight at 9:30 PM, US CPI Data

This thing is the “traffic light” for global funds, directly deciding where the money flows.

Simple but effective logic:

• CPI drops = inflation cools down = Fed rate cut expectations rise = US dollar loses attractiveness = hot money frantically escapes, flowing into cryptocurrencies, stocks, and other risk assets. The market will likely surge, with mainstream coins and quality altcoins enjoying some “meat soup.”

• CPI exceeds expectations = stubborn inflation = rate cut dreams shattered = US dollar becomes the safe haven choice = funds flee risk assets and flow back into USD. The market may experience a free fall—don’t rush to buy the dip; the view from the middle of the mountain isn’t pretty.

Second Nuclear Bomb: Tomorrow, Bank of Japan Rate Decision

This one is more covert but just as destructive. Over the past decade or so, international institutions have been playing a “no-cost, high-profit” game: borrowing zero-interest yen from Japan, converting to dollars, and investing in global assets—cryptocurrencies are one of the hardest hit. In simple terms, they leverage near-zero-cost funds to chase high yields, effectively “free money” with minimal risk.

But now, Japan is about to raise interest rates! The game instantly collapses.

What does rate hike mean?

• Borrowing costs soar

• Strong yen appreciation expectations

If institutions don’t sell off overseas assets and convert back to yen to repay debts, they’ll face a double whammy of exchange rate risk and interest payments. So once the rate hike is implemented, massive sell-offs will flood the market, liquidity will dry up instantly, and volatility will spike to a level that makes you question life.

Main trading tactic:疯狂洗盘 (crazy shakeout)

At this “godly fight” point, the market will behave abnormally—sharp rises and falls, spikes, fake breakouts… All tactics aim to do one thing: shake out over-leveraged retail traders and harvest panic chips. You think you’re trading, but in reality, you’re just an NPC in the main players’ script.

Practical strategy: Four-character mantra—Follow the trend

1. Core idea: Focus on high-altitude trades

Don’t take flying knives lightly; rebounds may seem tempting but are often traps. When the trend is downward, shorting has a much higher risk-reward ratio than guessing the bottom.

2. Going long? Just buy a “ticket”

If you’re itching to try, use a very small position—just to watch the show. Remember, very small positions, not heavy bets!

3. Stop-loss is life

Don’t hesitate to cut losses when needed—this isn’t cowardice, it’s survival wisdom. As long as your principal is intact, opportunities remain; once it’s gone, the game is over.

4. Watch key moments

In the 30 minutes before and after data releases, don’t move recklessly—let the market digest emotions first. Wait until the direction is clear before acting; if you miss the fish head, at least you get the stable fish body.

This macro battlefield night isn’t about who can get rich overnight, but who can survive tonight. Reduce leverage, lower expectations, stay alert. Those shouting “buy the dip” probably haven’t been hit hard yet.

Tonight, we don’t predict, only respond. The market is always right. If you lose, don’t blame the data—blame yourself for not being prepared.

Brothers, are your positions ready? Choose to stay flat and watch the show, or go light and speculate? Feel free to leave your response strategies in the comments—only through exchange can we avoid risks together. If you find this “battlefield intelligence” useful, don’t forget to share it with your friends still confused in the group, give a like, follow me. Before the next macro event, I’ll be the first to deliver your “risk-avoidance guide”!

(Disclaimer: The above content is for market analysis only and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency investment is highly risky. Please make decisions independently and bear the consequences.)