#美联储政策 The Fed is set to make a decision this week, and it looks like a rate cut is a done deal. But what I want to highlight is not how much it can rise in the short term, but the $45 billion liquidity injection behind it — that is what truly deserves to be followed.

Starting from January next year, this amount of money will be injected into the market every month, which essentially means providing liquidity to the market. This expectation has already begun to reflect in the prices, so even if there are short-term adjustments, there is no need to panic. BTC is still exploring direction within a triangular formation; I see that the small-level support has moved up to the 88,000-89,000 range. As long as this defense line is maintained, the probability of a subsequent rebound is quite high. ETH stabilizing above the 3000 mark is also a good signal; many people have missed out around this area. If it can continue to rise afterwards, it will instead be a process of building confidence.

But here I want to remind you of one thing - abundant liquidity does not mean that risk management is unnecessary. On the contrary, when liquidity is ample, it often makes people let their guard down. My advice is that even if you are optimistic about the subsequent market, you should manage your positions well. It is better to earn a little less than to bet everything at once. Wait for a pullback to the support level and then gradually build your positions. This way, you can participate in the rise without being overly pulled during fluctuations. In the long run, such operational discipline is worth more than betting correctly on one or two market movements.