Last week's key variables in the cryptocurrency market came from the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the market's reassessment of medium to long-term price expectations. The Bank of Japan raised the policy interest rate to 0.75%, which was in line with market expectations. Since no clear signals of “sustained rapid rate hikes” were released after the meeting, the market interpreted it as a dovish rate hike, leading to a temporary easing of macro tensions.
BTC rebounded from around $85,000 to near $88,000 after the announcement, then maintained a narrow range over the weekend with significantly reduced volatility. Overall, risk appetite has warmed up in the short term, but the price has not formed a continuous advance, still reflecting a structure dominated by existing funds.
At the same time, the market has shown divergence in its judgment of the subsequent trend, with trading shifting from “betting on one side” to “placing greater emphasis on risk management”. Against the backdrop of low liquidity at year-end, funds are more inclined to wait for clearer price structures and macro signals to confirm, with short-term fluctuations primarily driven by range-bound movements and events.
As we enter the year-end holiday phase, market liquidity continues to decline. Overall volatility may be limited, but when trading depth is insufficient, it is more easily influenced by position structure, and liquidation-type market conditions may still occur repeatedly. The key in this phase is not in directional judgment, but in position and leverage management.
1|Market Environment Overview
BTC
The market is still being pulled back and forth in the range of $85,000 to $88,000, and after the weekend trading volume thinned out, it resembles a “dull sideways” movement. It tends to experience profit-taking when approaching the upper end of the range, while it can be picked back up near the lower end, leaning more towards repeated turnover in the short term rather than breaking out into a continuous one-sided trend.
ETH
The integer level of 3,000 USD continues to act as an anchor point, fluctuating up and down but lacking sustained volume push, with the overall pace still oscillating in sync with BTC. It currently feels more like 'consolidating around the key price level', making it unsuitable to aggressively chase with a trend-following mindset.
SOL
The fluctuation within the 120–140 USD range remains the most active, commonly characterized by a rapid surge followed by a quick pullback. There are many opportunities, but the margin for error is small. The strategy leans towards smaller positions and short cycles of participation to avoid accumulating into a directional position.
Derivatives
Before the holiday, the positions are somewhat reduced, making it easier for the market to be driven by short-term position adjustments. This week, we need to focus on the 12/26 BTC options expiration window, as the probability of increased volatility before and after settlement is higher. Priority should be given to reducing leverage, margin usage, and the pace of adding positions.
The main macro line this week is: the transaction volume and depth continue to weaken during Christmas week, the structural volatility brought by the expiration of BTC options on 12/26, and the short-term liquidation triggered by the event window. Overall, it remains primarily a structural fluctuation, with no clear signs of a strengthening capital situation in the medium term.
2|Four Gate Ultra AI Strategy Features (Performance Over the Last 7 Days)
BTC/USDT (Contract Grid 2×): Approximately 4.50% ROI over the last 7 days. Range triggers are acceptable, but low liquidity spikes can amplify pullbacks; this week focus on controlling leverage and margin usage.
ETH/USDT (Spot Grid): Approximately 2.20% ROI over the past 7 days. The structure is stable, and the returns are smooth, making it suitable as a defensive allocation in a portfolio.
SOL/USDT (Spot Grid): The ROI in the past 7 days is approximately 6.30%. It has high elasticity but also quick drawdowns, so it is recommended to operate with a light position to increase margin for error.
XRP/USDT (Spot Grid): Approximately 1.10% ROI over the past 7 days. Low volatility, suitable as a portfolio stabilizer to balance overall risk.
Investment Risk Warning
The prices of crypto assets are highly volatile. Please participate cautiously according to your own risk tolerance. This content does not constitute any investment advice.
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2025/12/22 Gate Strategy Bots Weekly Report
Market Review Last Week (12/15–12/21)
Last week's key variables in the cryptocurrency market came from the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the market's reassessment of medium to long-term price expectations. The Bank of Japan raised the policy interest rate to 0.75%, which was in line with market expectations. Since no clear signals of “sustained rapid rate hikes” were released after the meeting, the market interpreted it as a dovish rate hike, leading to a temporary easing of macro tensions.
BTC rebounded from around $85,000 to near $88,000 after the announcement, then maintained a narrow range over the weekend with significantly reduced volatility. Overall, risk appetite has warmed up in the short term, but the price has not formed a continuous advance, still reflecting a structure dominated by existing funds.
At the same time, the market has shown divergence in its judgment of the subsequent trend, with trading shifting from “betting on one side” to “placing greater emphasis on risk management”. Against the backdrop of low liquidity at year-end, funds are more inclined to wait for clearer price structures and macro signals to confirm, with short-term fluctuations primarily driven by range-bound movements and events.
As we enter the year-end holiday phase, market liquidity continues to decline. Overall volatility may be limited, but when trading depth is insufficient, it is more easily influenced by position structure, and liquidation-type market conditions may still occur repeatedly. The key in this phase is not in directional judgment, but in position and leverage management.
1|Market Environment Overview
BTC The market is still being pulled back and forth in the range of $85,000 to $88,000, and after the weekend trading volume thinned out, it resembles a “dull sideways” movement. It tends to experience profit-taking when approaching the upper end of the range, while it can be picked back up near the lower end, leaning more towards repeated turnover in the short term rather than breaking out into a continuous one-sided trend.
ETH The integer level of 3,000 USD continues to act as an anchor point, fluctuating up and down but lacking sustained volume push, with the overall pace still oscillating in sync with BTC. It currently feels more like 'consolidating around the key price level', making it unsuitable to aggressively chase with a trend-following mindset.
SOL The fluctuation within the 120–140 USD range remains the most active, commonly characterized by a rapid surge followed by a quick pullback. There are many opportunities, but the margin for error is small. The strategy leans towards smaller positions and short cycles of participation to avoid accumulating into a directional position.
Derivatives Before the holiday, the positions are somewhat reduced, making it easier for the market to be driven by short-term position adjustments. This week, we need to focus on the 12/26 BTC options expiration window, as the probability of increased volatility before and after settlement is higher. Priority should be given to reducing leverage, margin usage, and the pace of adding positions.
The main macro line this week is: the transaction volume and depth continue to weaken during Christmas week, the structural volatility brought by the expiration of BTC options on 12/26, and the short-term liquidation triggered by the event window. Overall, it remains primarily a structural fluctuation, with no clear signs of a strengthening capital situation in the medium term.
2|Four Gate Ultra AI Strategy Features (Performance Over the Last 7 Days)
BTC/USDT (Contract Grid 2×): Approximately 4.50% ROI over the last 7 days. Range triggers are acceptable, but low liquidity spikes can amplify pullbacks; this week focus on controlling leverage and margin usage. ETH/USDT (Spot Grid): Approximately 2.20% ROI over the past 7 days. The structure is stable, and the returns are smooth, making it suitable as a defensive allocation in a portfolio. SOL/USDT (Spot Grid): The ROI in the past 7 days is approximately 6.30%. It has high elasticity but also quick drawdowns, so it is recommended to operate with a light position to increase margin for error. XRP/USDT (Spot Grid): Approximately 1.10% ROI over the past 7 days. Low volatility, suitable as a portfolio stabilizer to balance overall risk.
3|This Week's Hot New Coins Radar (Gate)
Magma Finance (MAGMA) Theoriq (THQ) SCOR (SCOR) VOOI (VOOI) Infrared (IR) TradeTide (TTD) Tronbank (TBK)
4|Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Management
BTC: 40% (core position) - reduce leverage, do not chase prices; prioritize protecting against drawdowns during the holiday. ETH: 25% (Stable Allocation) - Focused on range strategy, reducing directional exposure. SOL: 20% (High Volatility Position) - Light position for short cycles, avoiding unilateral exposure. XRP: 15% (defensive position) - balancing portfolio volatility, reducing drawdown.
5 | Important Events Reminder This Week (UTC+8)
12/23 (Tuesday) 21:30: Release of the US third quarter GDP data. 12/24 (Wednesday) 21:30: US Initial Jobless Claims for the week.
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Investment Risk Warning The prices of crypto assets are highly volatile. Please participate cautiously according to your own risk tolerance. This content does not constitute any investment advice.