On December 24, 2025, after last night's pullback to 2900, the support holds, but there has been no effective breakout and momentum is weakening. Today, we will focus on observing the bottom position after a second pullback. If it remains above 2920, it would be best to directly stay sideways above 2950, as there is still potential for upward movement. If there is a pullback today that breaks below the psychological level of 2900, we need to observe the strength of the support at the three retracement support levels of 2885-2835-2790. If it falls below 2800, a deep correction is likely to continue, targeting 2620-2250-2100.

Summary: Use 3000 as a psychological dividing line, with short positions mainly below 3000 and long positions mainly above 3000. Continue to focus on the daily range formed by several key support and resistance levels. Enter the market on the right side when the price fails to hold below a break after a spike, with a short stop loss and a large risk-reward ratio. Avoid trading in between, as it is easy to get stopped out from both ends.
Range: Intraday 2950-3050, extended range 2900-3100. If the attempt to break through 3000 fails and trades sideways in the 2900-3000 range, it indicates a downward shift of the range. The extended range shifts down by 50 points to 2850-3050.
Long Position Strategy: Currently, the upward momentum is gradually weakening, with a clear overall top and bottom moving down, and the bearish trend has been preliminarily confirmed. This round of pullback is to the support level of 2885-2835-2800 (psychological barrier). Each support level can be tested with a small position and a stop loss for a long position, aiming for a large risk-reward ratio.
Short Position Strategy: Take high short positions each time the price returns to the 2950-3050 range, focusing on short trades. Set target levels for taking partial profits at 2920-2885-2835-2800, and use dynamic stop losses to protect profits.
Supplement: It feels like the sideways movement is almost over, and there might be a spike in volume today. Currently, we lack a push for northward clearing. If we can maintain above 2950 during the day, there could be a northward clearing action. However, if we do northward clearing during the day and then pull back, there might be a direct southward move in the evening. Try to enter manually on the right side to avoid left-side orders. After setting strict stop-loss levels, do not intervene. If you hit a stop-loss, just observe. Keep your vision long-term. Many people, after hitting a stop-loss, see a quick recovery and can't control themselves from chasing in, only to get hit again. Once a trend is established, it can easily fluctuate by more than 10%. Don't fixate on that less than 1% spike.
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