Last Week (12/22–12/28) Market Performance
Last week, the market entered a typical year-end holiday structure: short-term volatility converged, but trading depth and participation weakened simultaneously. The market was driven more by “liquidity + position structure” rather than trend. BTC mostly traded within a narrow range around $88,000, with upward moves lacking sustained support and downward moves being quickly replenished, showing a range-bound tug-of-war.
Taking public data as an example, the search interest for “cryptocurrency/Bitcoin” dropped to its lowest point of the year, reflecting weak new attention and incremental capital willingness. The direct result on the trading level is that the market is more prone to structural fluctuations like “piercing key levels—quick rebounds,” making chasing rallies and cutting losses more difficult, with prices tending to oscillate within a range.
In terms of capital structure, the market is more sensitive to “traded chips migration.” For example, with ETH, discussions about increased exchange net inflows after the Christmas window suggest that resistance levels above are more likely to form layered profit-taking expectations; in low liquidity environments, upward moves are more easily pressured, leading to more oscillation, repetition, and discontinuity.
1|Market Environment Overview
BTC
After returning near $90,000, BTC entered a phase of repeated confirmation, with cautious resistance above and mainly range-bound tug-of-war. The short-term structure resembles “trading around key integer levels,” and without sustained trading follow-up, prices are more likely to oscillate within the range rather than extend in a single direction.
ETH
ETH regained above $3,000 but remains relatively passive overall, moving mostly in sync with BTC. Focus on the selling pressure around $3,000–3,080: if it repeatedly hits and quickly falls back, it indicates heavy supply above, and the market is more likely to digest through oscillation.
SOL
SOL continues to trade within the $120–140 range, characterized this week by faster pace and sharper volatility, with common “upward surge—retrace—retry” back-and-forth patterns. Until the range is effectively broken, it resembles high-frequency trading with more obvious short-term fluctuations.
Derivatives Market
During the year-end period, the contract market is more prone to “chain reactions of low-depth fluctuations”: stop-losses and liquidations near key levels are more concentrated, and quick reversion after short-term amplification is more common. Overall, the market is dominated by structural volatility rather than trend-driven moves; the magnitude of fluctuations often exceeds the sustainable length of trends.
2|Gate Ultra AI Strategy Operation Characteristics:
BTC/USDT (contract grid 2×): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 4.50%. Range trigger efficiency is decent, but the contract nature amplifies drawdowns and liquidation risks. During the low-depth year-end period, piercing volatility is more likely.
ETH/USDT (spot grid): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 2.20%. The oscillation structure is relatively stable, with smoother returns, leaning towards a defensive portfolio.
SOL/USDT (spot grid): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 6.30%. High volatility and elastic returns, but drawdowns are also amplified, resembling a high-elasticity range income source.
XRP/USDT (spot grid): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 1.10%. Relatively low volatility, more stable performance, suitable as a balancing component in the portfolio to reduce overall volatility.
3|This Week’s Hot New Coins Radar:
Kodiak (KDK)
GaiAI (GAIX)
zkPass (ZKP)
Tronbank (TBK)
TradeTide (TTD)
4|Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Control:
Suggested allocation: BTC 40%, ETH 25%, SOL 20%, XRP 15%.
Structural positioning and key points: BTC as the portfolio anchor/core position; ETH with a defensive and follow-up attribute; SOL as a source of volatility and return elasticity; XRP used to balance the portfolio volatility and reduce overall net value fluctuations. During the year-end period, more attention should be paid to risk exposure and liquidity changes that amplify drawdowns, avoiding excessive concentration of same-direction exposure in low-depth windows.
5|Important Events This Week (UTC+8)
12/30 (Tuesday) 23:00: US December Consumer Confidence Index
12/31 (Wednesday) 03:00: Federal Reserve December FOMC Meeting Minutes
12/31 (Wednesday) 09:30: China December Official Manufacturing PMI / Non-Manufacturing PMI
12/31 (Wednesday) 21:30: US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims
Investment Risk Warning
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile. This content is for market information and strategy observation only and does not constitute any investment advice.
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2025/12/29 Gate Strategy Bot Weekly Report
Last Week (12/22–12/28) Market Performance Last week, the market entered a typical year-end holiday structure: short-term volatility converged, but trading depth and participation weakened simultaneously. The market was driven more by “liquidity + position structure” rather than trend. BTC mostly traded within a narrow range around $88,000, with upward moves lacking sustained support and downward moves being quickly replenished, showing a range-bound tug-of-war. Taking public data as an example, the search interest for “cryptocurrency/Bitcoin” dropped to its lowest point of the year, reflecting weak new attention and incremental capital willingness. The direct result on the trading level is that the market is more prone to structural fluctuations like “piercing key levels—quick rebounds,” making chasing rallies and cutting losses more difficult, with prices tending to oscillate within a range. In terms of capital structure, the market is more sensitive to “traded chips migration.” For example, with ETH, discussions about increased exchange net inflows after the Christmas window suggest that resistance levels above are more likely to form layered profit-taking expectations; in low liquidity environments, upward moves are more easily pressured, leading to more oscillation, repetition, and discontinuity.
1|Market Environment Overview BTC After returning near $90,000, BTC entered a phase of repeated confirmation, with cautious resistance above and mainly range-bound tug-of-war. The short-term structure resembles “trading around key integer levels,” and without sustained trading follow-up, prices are more likely to oscillate within the range rather than extend in a single direction.
ETH ETH regained above $3,000 but remains relatively passive overall, moving mostly in sync with BTC. Focus on the selling pressure around $3,000–3,080: if it repeatedly hits and quickly falls back, it indicates heavy supply above, and the market is more likely to digest through oscillation.
SOL SOL continues to trade within the $120–140 range, characterized this week by faster pace and sharper volatility, with common “upward surge—retrace—retry” back-and-forth patterns. Until the range is effectively broken, it resembles high-frequency trading with more obvious short-term fluctuations.
Derivatives Market During the year-end period, the contract market is more prone to “chain reactions of low-depth fluctuations”: stop-losses and liquidations near key levels are more concentrated, and quick reversion after short-term amplification is more common. Overall, the market is dominated by structural volatility rather than trend-driven moves; the magnitude of fluctuations often exceeds the sustainable length of trends.
2|Gate Ultra AI Strategy Operation Characteristics: BTC/USDT (contract grid 2×): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 4.50%. Range trigger efficiency is decent, but the contract nature amplifies drawdowns and liquidation risks. During the low-depth year-end period, piercing volatility is more likely. ETH/USDT (spot grid): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 2.20%. The oscillation structure is relatively stable, with smoother returns, leaning towards a defensive portfolio. SOL/USDT (spot grid): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 6.30%. High volatility and elastic returns, but drawdowns are also amplified, resembling a high-elasticity range income source. XRP/USDT (spot grid): ROI over the past 7 days approximately 1.10%. Relatively low volatility, more stable performance, suitable as a balancing component in the portfolio to reduce overall volatility.
3|This Week’s Hot New Coins Radar: Kodiak (KDK) GaiAI (GAIX) zkPass (ZKP) Tronbank (TBK) TradeTide (TTD)
4|Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Control: Suggested allocation: BTC 40%, ETH 25%, SOL 20%, XRP 15%. Structural positioning and key points: BTC as the portfolio anchor/core position; ETH with a defensive and follow-up attribute; SOL as a source of volatility and return elasticity; XRP used to balance the portfolio volatility and reduce overall net value fluctuations. During the year-end period, more attention should be paid to risk exposure and liquidity changes that amplify drawdowns, avoiding excessive concentration of same-direction exposure in low-depth windows.
5|Important Events This Week (UTC+8) 12/30 (Tuesday) 23:00: US December Consumer Confidence Index 12/31 (Wednesday) 03:00: Federal Reserve December FOMC Meeting Minutes 12/31 (Wednesday) 09:30: China December Official Manufacturing PMI / Non-Manufacturing PMI 12/31 (Wednesday) 21:30: US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims
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Investment Risk Warning Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile. This content is for market information and strategy observation only and does not constitute any investment advice.