1. Cycles are King: BTC's four-year halving cycle sets the major rhythm; bull and bear cycles are unavoidable. Timing the cycle is more important than guessing specific levels. 2. Leading Coins Set the Tone: BTC is the market indicator; when it is stable, altcoins thrive. Watch BTC's movements first, then make altcoin decisions. 3. Narrative-Driven: Market trends are driven by stories; halving, ETFs, and new public chains are hot topics. Deploy during the early stages of new narratives, exit at the peak. 4. Asymmetric Gains and Losses: Make 100% profit, then lose 50%, and you're back to zero; take profits decisively, cut losses early, preserving capital is the top priority. 5. 90/10 Rule: The market spends 90% of the time oscillating and declining, and 10% surging; be patient for the main upward move, don't get caught up in the oscillations. 6. FOMO Will Kill You: When everyone in your circle is shouting about 100x returns, it's often the top; I stay cautious when others are greedy, and I deploy when others are panicking. 7. Contracts Are a Double-Edged Sword: High leverage amplifies both gains and risks; beginners should avoid contracts, experienced traders should use low leverage and strict stop-losses. 8. Volume Tells the Truth: Rising prices with low volume are false signals; only breakouts with high volume are credible; beware of divergence between volume and price as a sign of reversal. 9. Altcoins Have a High Zeroing Rate: 90% of altcoins will disappear in a bear market; only projects with real value can survive bull and bear cycles; avoid aircoins, focus on core assets. 10. Mindset Wins: Emotions are the biggest enemy in trading; many liquidations happen due to holding too long, chasing highs, or revenge trading; follow your plan mechanically, don't let emotions control your actions. #DrHan2025年终公开信
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The Great Way is Simple and Rules the World
1. Cycles are King: BTC's four-year halving cycle sets the major rhythm; bull and bear cycles are unavoidable. Timing the cycle is more important than guessing specific levels.
2. Leading Coins Set the Tone: BTC is the market indicator; when it is stable, altcoins thrive. Watch BTC's movements first, then make altcoin decisions.
3. Narrative-Driven: Market trends are driven by stories; halving, ETFs, and new public chains are hot topics. Deploy during the early stages of new narratives, exit at the peak.
4. Asymmetric Gains and Losses: Make 100% profit, then lose 50%, and you're back to zero; take profits decisively, cut losses early, preserving capital is the top priority.
5. 90/10 Rule: The market spends 90% of the time oscillating and declining, and 10% surging; be patient for the main upward move, don't get caught up in the oscillations.
6. FOMO Will Kill You: When everyone in your circle is shouting about 100x returns, it's often the top; I stay cautious when others are greedy, and I deploy when others are panicking.
7. Contracts Are a Double-Edged Sword: High leverage amplifies both gains and risks; beginners should avoid contracts, experienced traders should use low leverage and strict stop-losses.
8. Volume Tells the Truth: Rising prices with low volume are false signals; only breakouts with high volume are credible; beware of divergence between volume and price as a sign of reversal.
9. Altcoins Have a High Zeroing Rate: 90% of altcoins will disappear in a bear market; only projects with real value can survive bull and bear cycles; avoid aircoins, focus on core assets.
10. Mindset Wins: Emotions are the biggest enemy in trading; many liquidations happen due to holding too long, chasing highs, or revenge trading; follow your plan mechanically, don't let emotions control your actions. #DrHan2025年终公开信