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#期权市场 Damn, all the institutions have run away during the Christmas holiday, IV has plummeted over 5% across the board, and in the short to medium term, it even dropped more than 10%! What does this mean? It means the market will be flat for the next two weeks, brothers 😱
The year-end settlement date is approaching, with over 50% of option positions waiting to expire. Large traders have already moved their positions early to escape. The triple squeeze of declining volatility, holiday trading halt, and year-end repositioning has directly pressed the market to the ground. Ethereum's IV drop is even more exaggerated. What is this telling us? It tells us there are no big moves coming!
In the short term, don't expect the thrill of rapid rises and falls. The market consensus is to go down and stay flat. This time window is not suitable for aggressive speculation unless you really want to be cut like a leek in a low-volatility environment. Either wait until after New Year's Day for institutions to recover, or just watch the show honestly—don't be greedy and mess with options.
In the next half month, safety first. Hold off on bottom fishing, wait for volatility to rebound before acting 💎