When the Federal Reserve makes a statement, the market immediately experiences a roller coaster—first a sharp rally, then a sharp drop. This spectacle has played out too many times, but each time someone gets left behind. What's the real secret? The market's movement isn't in the news itself, but in the gap between expectations and reality.

Recent performance of various cryptocurrencies clearly illustrates this point. Look at these: CHZ rose by 5.53%, while LTC fell by 5.25%, and DASH increased by 5.31%. Up, down, up again—funds are diverging. This isn't random; the market is voting with real money—choosing which coins to favor and which to abandon.

The more critical variable comes from Washington. Powell's chances of reappointment have significantly increased. What does this mean? The Federal Reserve will become more independent and stable, with policy decisions primarily based on hard data rather than other factors. This independence is actually good for the market—at least, the logic becomes clearer.

But it also sets a trap. The next theme is quite clear: a strong Federal Reserve combined with volatile economic data will cause the market to swing between two extremes—worrying about delayed rate cuts when the economy is strong, and expecting earlier cuts when the economy is weak. This is an endless "data roller coaster."

In such an environment, going all-in? Forget it—that's actively throwing yourself into the fire. In the crypto game, the real winners are never the most aggressive players, but those who can endure. Waiting for a confirmed trend is much smarter than betting early.

Are you the type to lay low early, or do you prefer to wait until the trend is confirmed before taking action? Feel free to share your thoughts.