Market bottom signals emerging? A comprehensive technical analysis of BTC, ETH, and ADA — understand the future trends of the three major mainstream coins in one article

Technical analysis may seem complex, but in reality, it follows clear patterns. Currently, the crypto market is at a critical juncture, with the three main cryptocurrencies sending signals to investors. Let’s start with the most basic technical indicators and analyze them one by one.

Bitcoin(BTC)：From Panic to Rebound Critical Point

Current Data Overview: BTC price $93.02K, down -2.13% in 24 hours, market cap $1858.26B

The recent decline has caused many to feel uneasy, but from a chart perspective, the story might not be as bleak as it seems.

The price faced significant resistance around the median level of $86,000, which also attracted buying interest — this detail is crucial. The key point is that after falling to this level, selling pressure did not accelerate; instead, volume decreased and the price stabilized, forming a combined signal. What does this typically indicate in technical analysis? The market has accepted the current price, and panic selling has largely subsided.

The RSI indicator is currently hovering near the middle, not entering an oversold state. More importantly, BTC price remains below the short-term and medium-term moving averages, creating ample room for a rebound — this is called “mean reversion” in economics.

But don’t rush to chase the rebound; this process won’t be smooth sailing. The market will continue testing lows and may experience several sharp fluctuations. As long as BTC holds the recent support level, the probability of a long-term upward trend is higher than that of breaking down again. At this stage, investors should focus on mental preparedness for upcoming volatility.

Ethereum(ETH)：Life-and-Death Crossroads

Current Data Overview: ETH price $3.22K, down -2.87% in 24 hours, market cap $389.02B

ETH’s current situation is somewhat delicate. The price range between $3,000 and $2,900 is not only related to short-term movement but also determines whether the medium-term trend can continue.

Recently, ETH has shown slight signs of rebound, but the strength is moderate. From the chart, the price is still under the short-term and medium-term moving averages, indicating the overall downward pressure has not fully eased. If ETH can rebound back into the $3,100–3,200 range and stabilize, this decline can be seen as a healthy correction rather than a structural breakdown.

The RSI performance is quite subtle — it hasn’t fallen into extreme oversold territory nor shown strong buy signals, remaining in a “fickle” state. At this point, the price direction depends on upcoming volume and market sentiment.

One risk to watch out for: ETH cannot stay below $3,000 for too long. If it consolidates for more than a week without rebounding, bullish sentiment will weaken further, and selling pressure will gradually build up, potentially leading to a deeper decline. Once key support is broken, that support level will turn into resistance, and the overall trend definition will change — from a correction within an uptrend to a genuine downtrend.

Cardano(ADA)：Final Test in the Accumulation Phase

Current Data Overview: ADA price $0.37, down -6.40% in 24 hours, market cap $13.50B

ADA experienced the sharpest decline, but from another perspective, this could also mean that the pessimism has been overextended.

Several months of decline have pushed ADA to relatively low levels, with current prices well below the medium and long-term moving averages. Although selling pressure persists, it is not aggressive — this is an interesting phenomenon. Generally, when selling becomes mild and slow, it indicates that the shorting force is weakening, which is a typical “weakening signal” in technical analysis.

Volume data further confirms this: even as the price continues to fall, volume does not increase correspondingly. This “volume declining while price remains low” pattern is called “weakening decline” in candlestick language, often signaling that a rebound is brewing.

The RSI has been hovering around 40 for a long time, not yet showing a clear oversold signal, but compared to the past month, it is approaching the oversold edge. The key point is that this low RSI combined with shrinking volume often leads to a rebound based on historical patterns.

From a purely technical perspective, ADA is at the end of a down cycle. Although the price is suppressed very low, it is accumulating rebound potential. However, a crucial reminder: rebounds won’t happen automatically. They require either external catalysts (positive news, macro improvements) or time to build a solid bottom structure. Until then, sideways trading and small fluctuations are normal.

Overall Bottom-Fishing Opportunity Assessment

From the overall market perspective, some positive technical signals have emerged — BTC stabilizing, ETH testing key levels, ADA’s volume weakening. But this does not mean the bottom is confirmed. Technical analysis is fundamentally a probability game. The current technical signals suggest a higher chance of rebound, but nothing is guaranteed.

A wise approach is to deploy in stages, gradually building positions at these key support levels rather than going all-in on a rebound. Market trends often become clearer through consolidation, and patient investors will ultimately reap the best rewards.