Markets are entering another tariff-driven volatility cycle. Trump announced new EU tariffs, tying any rollback to a Greenland deal—a familiar pressure tactic.
What’s announced
10% tariff from Feb 1
25% hike on June 1 if no deal
Targets: Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, Finland
Tariffs stay until a Greenland agreement is reached
How this usually plays out
Threat → formal tariff announcement
Weekend pressure while markets are closed
Futures sell off on reopen
Early-week headline volatility
Midweek dip buying (tariffs not live yet)
“Progress” headlines → futures bounce
Deal announced near the deadline
Key takeaway Tariffs are leverage, not the end goal. Markets suffer most during the headline phase, then stabilize once negotiations begin.
Volatility isn’t the outcome — it’s the tool.
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Trump’s tariff playbook is back.
Markets are entering another tariff-driven volatility cycle. Trump announced new EU tariffs, tying any rollback to a Greenland deal—a familiar pressure tactic.
What’s announced
10% tariff from Feb 1
25% hike on June 1 if no deal
Targets: Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, Finland
Tariffs stay until a Greenland agreement is reached
How this usually plays out
Threat → formal tariff announcement
Weekend pressure while markets are closed
Futures sell off on reopen
Early-week headline volatility
Midweek dip buying (tariffs not live yet)
“Progress” headlines → futures bounce
Deal announced near the deadline
Key takeaway Tariffs are leverage, not the end goal.
Markets suffer most during the headline phase, then stabilize once negotiations begin.
Volatility isn’t the outcome — it’s the tool.