📊 2026-02-11 BTC Technical Analysis + Trading Strategy (As of 11:20)

Current Price: Approximately $68,800 (24h +2.8%, oversold rebound)

1. Key Price Levels (For Direct Trading Reference)

- Support Levels
- Short-term Strong Support: 67,000 (Yesterday’s Low + Dense Trading)
- Secondary Support: 65,000 (Concentrated Chips Area)
- Strong Support: 63,000–62,000 (Mid-term Defense)
- Resistance Levels
- Short-term Resistance: 70,000–71,000 (Psychological Barrier + Trapped Zone)
- Strong Resistance: 72,000–73,500 (EMA20 + Previous Platform)

2. Multi-timeframe Technical Status

- Daily Chart
- Still in a Downtrend (LH/LL), No Reversal
- RSI 35 Rebounds from Oversold, Strong Rebound Demand
- MACD Negative Histogram Narrows, Bearish Momentum Weakening
- Price Below EMA20 (73,500), Mid-term Slightly Bearish
- 4-Hour Chart
- Bottom Stabilized, 67,000 Support Effective, Slightly Bullish Oscillation
- Moderate Volume, Breakthrough of 71,000 Needed for Rebound Space
- 1-Hour Chart
- Narrow Range Oscillation: 68,000–69,500, Waiting for Non-Farm Payrolls to Set Direction

3. Capital and Macro Environment

- ETF Funds: BTC Spot ETF 24h Net Inflow of $180 Million, Ending Continuous Outflows, Institutional Support
- Market Sentiment: From Extreme Panic to Cautious Observation, Liquidation Pressure Significantly Reduced
- Tonight’s Key Event: 21:30 US Non-Farm Payroll Data, Likely to Trigger Volatility

4. Today’s Trading Strategy (For Reference Only, Not Investment Advice)

1) Before Data Release (Before 21:30): Light Positions, Observe, Do Not Bet on Direction

- Mainly Range Trading, 68,000–69,500, Buy Low and Sell High
- Position ≤10%, Strict Stop-Loss

2) After Data Release: Execute Based on Scenarios

- Scenario A: Data Exceeds Expectations (≥120,000)
- Negative for BTC, Diminished Rate Cut Expectations
- Short Positions: Short at 70,000–71,000, Stop at 72,000, Targets 68,000 → 67,000 → 65,000
- Scenario B: Data Meets Expectations (70,000–100,000)
- Range Trading, 67,000–72,000
- Long Positions: Light Long at 67,500–68,000, Stop at 66,500, Targets 70,000 → 71,000
- Short Positions: Short at 71,000–72,000, Stop at 73,000, Targets 70,000 → 68,000
- Scenario C: Data Significantly Below Expectations (≤50,000)
- Positive for BTC, Increased Rate Cut Expectations
- Long Positions: Chase Long at 68,500–69,000, Stop at 67,500, Targets 71,000 → 73,500

3) Mid-term Strategy

- Mainly Observe, Wait for Price to Stabilize Above 73,500 Before Going Long; If Breaks Below 67,000, Watch for Support at 63,000
- Still in a Deleveraging Cycle, Rebound Is Not a Reversal, Strict Position Control

5. Risk Management Points

- Positions ≤10% Before Non-Farm Payrolls, Increase After Data Release
- Unified Stop-Loss: Long at 66,500, Short at 73,000
- Volatility is High, Avoid Holding or Chasing Positions