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The market is eagerly awaiting tonight's CPI data. Will the early rebound in gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies prove to be foresight or a trap?

At 21:30 tonight, the delayed U.S. January CPI data will be released. Considering the unexpectedly strong non-farm payrolls report yesterday, which triggered a sharp decline in gold and silver markets and extended to a collective plunge in global financial markets today, tonight's CPI data is undoubtedly a heavyweight event. As a key indicator measuring inflationary pressure, it not only reveals the health of the U.S. economy but also determines the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy path. The January CPI was originally scheduled for release in early February but was postponed to February 13 due to the partial government shutdown. This delay itself highlights the importance of the data. This afternoon, during European trading hours, gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies generally rebounded. Is this market reaction a sign of "foresight" or a "bull trap"?

📝 Data Impact on the Market:

👉 Policy Expectation Transmission: CPI data is the core basis for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy adjustments. If January's CPI shows increased inflationary pressure, the Fed may delay rate cuts or shift toward tightening, leading to a stronger U.S. dollar index and a contraction in global liquidity. In such an environment, cryptocurrencies, as high-risk assets, often face selling pressure. For example, Bitcoin prices may come under pressure due to market concerns over a "digital asset bubble," prompting some investors to move into cash or low-risk assets. Conversely, if CPI data is moderate, indicating a dovish policy stance, cryptocurrencies might receive short-term support.

👉 U.S. Dollar Index Linkage: CPI data influences the Federal Reserve's policy, indirectly affecting the dollar index trend. If inflationary pressures prompt the Fed to tighten policy, the dollar index may strengthen, suppressing gold and silver prices; if expectations of easing increase, the dollar index may fall, potentially boosting gold and silver.

📊 Our Response Strategy: Data Interpretation and Risk Management
Given the uncertainty around CPI data, investors need to adopt multi-dimensional strategies to manage risks.
✅ Deep Data Analysis: Focus on core CPI (excluding food and energy prices) rather than the overall CPI to assess the sustainability of inflation trends. Additionally, combine other data such as non-farm employment and retail sales to build a more comprehensive economic picture.

✅ Dynamic Position Adjustment: Before the data release, evaluate and appropriately reduce exposure to high-risk assets to prevent "black swan" events. For example, cryptocurrency investors can set stop-loss points, while gold and silver traders can use options strategies to hedge volatility risks.
Tonight, Gate is hosting a grand on-chain Spring Festival Gala. Everyone can enjoy the show while waiting for the CPI data. What will the result be? Let's wait and see!