$TRUMP Signal】Long - 1H breakout retest confirmation, major players clearly defending the market



$TRUMP The 1H timeframe, after experiencing a sharp decline yesterday, built a support zone between 3.20-3.28. Currently, it has broken out with volume and stabilized above the 1H EMA20 (3.334), forming a short-term bullish structure. Although the 4H timeframe is still in a downtrend channel, the latest 4H candlestick closed bullish with a buy volume ratio of 0.55, indicating that rebound momentum is building. The healthy retracement at the 1H level presents an excellent short-term entry opportunity.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 3.370 - 3.375 (Reason: 1H EMA20 support zone + current dense trading zone)

🛑Stop Loss: 3.320 (Reason: Break below the previous 1H support low of 3.33 and ATR lower band)

🚀Target 1: 3.450 (Reason: Resistance at the previous rebound high on the 4H timeframe)

🚀Target 2: 3.520 (Reason: 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the 1H rebound low of 3.187)

🛡Trade Management:

- Position size suggestion: Light (Reason: The 4H trend has not fully reversed, indicating a counter-trend rebound)

- Execution strategy: After reaching 3.450, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to entry price of 3.375. The remaining position aims for the second target. If the price retraces and breaks below the moving stop loss, exit all positions.

Deep logic: Market signals indicate an upward trend, and combined with open interest (OI) remaining stable rather than decreasing, suggesting it’s not just short covering. There may be new buying funds entering to defend the market. The 1H RSI (55.12) is in a healthy bullish zone with room to rise. The order book depth imbalance is -15.72%, with slightly more sell pressure, but large buy orders in the 3.36-3.37 range provide solid support. Negative funding rates imply a dominant short position, and if the price continues to hold, a short squeeze could occur.

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