📊 2026-02-26 BTC Technical Analysis + Practical Strategies (As of 12:45)

Current Price: Approximately $68,000, rallying then pulling back with volatility

1. Core Technical Signals

- 24 Hours: Bottomed at 62,557 → surged to 69,999 → pulled back, long upper shadow, strong selling pressure at 70,000
- Daily Chart: Long upper shadow, 4-hour MACD bearish divergence, weakening upward momentum
- Weekly Chart: RSI≈25.7 (oversold), rebound momentum present, but overall structure remains weak
- Short-term: Price above SMA50, below SMA200, showing oscillation with relative strength

2. Key Precise Levels

- Strong Support: 67,600–67,800 (intraday low)
- Secondary Support: 66,500–66,800 (rebound zone)
- Defensive Level: 65,000 (integer psychological level)
- First Resistance: 69,000–69,500 (overbought zone)
- Strong Resistance: 69,999–70,000 (psychological barrier)
- Trend Reversal: 71,500–72,000

3. Practical Strategies (Light Position, with Stop Loss)

1️⃣ Long Positions (mainly low buy, avoid chasing highs)

- Entry: Rebound to 67,600–68,000 with stabilization, 4-hour bullish close
- Stop Loss: 67,000 (exit if broken)
- Targets: 69,000–69,500 (first); 70,000 (second)
- Logic: Oversold rebound + effective support, short-term recovery

2️⃣ Short Positions (try shorting on rebounds, light position)

- Entry: Rebound to 69,000–69,500 with resistance, decreasing volume
- Stop Loss: 70,200 (breakout with increased volume invalidates short)
- Targets: 68,000–67,600 (first); 66,500 (second)
- Logic: Heavy short-term supply at 70,000, rebound as supply zone

3️⃣ Trend Judgment

- Volume breakdown below 67,600 → weakening trend, watch 66,500–65,000
- Stabilize above 70,000 with 4-hour close → strengthening trend, watch 71,500+

4. Risk Management and Positioning

- Position Size: Single position ≤5%, total portfolio ≤20%
- Stop Loss: Always set per trade, do not hold through losses
- Coordination: Follow BTC closely, reduce positions if the market weakens

5. Risk Warning

- Negative gamma environment, increased volatility, rapid price movements possible
- Macro factors (USD, Federal Reserve) and ETF capital flows have significant impact
- Information is for reference only, not investment advice
#深度创作营 $BTC