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$BTC
The probability of a short-term bullish scenario is estimated at 60%, bearish at 40%, reflecting moderate buyer dominance. Bitcoin maintains a key support level at 68,000 USDT, and as long as it holds, the move towards 70,500 USDT remains a priority.
Bullish scenario: Selling pressure decreases, capital flow from ETFs stabilizes, institutional buying intensifies. MACD and RSI are in positive territory, long positions exceed short ones (**1.55**).
Short-term buy📈
Entry: 68,000 USDT, position size 40% of the portfolio
Stop: 66,000 USDT
Target: 70,500 USDT
Bearish scenario: If support is broken and fund outflows from ETFs exceed **2.3 ×10⁸ USD**, the price could enter a bearish range. Overall market sentiment remains at risk of correction.
Short-term sell📉
Entry: 69,500 USDT
Stop: 70,800 USDT
Target: 67,000 USDT