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Analysts say the BTC four-year cycle remains intact; bottom may come Oct 2026.
Despite recent volatility and debates over whether Bitcoin's traditional halving-driven four-year cycle is breaking, several analysts maintain it's fully intact. The pattern—sharp post-halving rallies followed by 50-80% drawdowns—continues to align with historical data, with the latest correction from highs reinforcing rather than disproving it.
Reports from firms like Kaiko highlight that the drop to current levels mirrors previous bear phases, not a structural shift. Some projections point to the cycle bottom potentially arriving around October 2026, with the bear market expected to persist through much of the year before the next accumulation phase.
This view offers long-term holders reassurance: while short-term pain from macro factors (oil shocks, dollar strength) is real, the halving cycle's supply dynamics remain a core driver. Traders should watch for signs of capitulation or stabilization around key support levels as the cycle progresses toward its anticipated low.#GateFebruaryTransparencyReport #MicroStrategyAddsBTCFor1.28B