#加密市场回涨 Current Popular Coin Pullback Strategy

**Market Background: Fear and Greed Index 10, extreme fear zone.** This is typically a good time for staged accumulation, but it also means downside risk hasn't fully released. Strict position control is a prerequisite.

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I. BTC — Current Price $70,849

**Staged Buy-In Zones:**

| Tier | Price Range | Position Size |
|------|----------|----------|
| First | $68,000 - $69,500 | 30% |
| Second | $65,000 - $66,000 (Previous high breakout level) | 40% |
| Third | $60,000 - $61,000 (Strong support zone) | 30% |

**Stop Loss:** Close below $58,500 (breaks structural support)

**Logic:** Continuous BlackRock ETF inflows, $13.1 billion options pain point concentrated at $75,000, long-short dynamics driving rebound momentum, but need to wait for pullback entry opportunities.

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II. ETH — Current Price $2,153

**Staged Buy-In Zones:**

| Tier | Price Range | Position Size |
|------|----------|----------|
| First | $2,050 - $2,100 | 30% |
| Second | $1,880 - $1,920 | 40% |
| Third | $1,700 - $1,750 (Historical dense trading zone) | 30% |

**Stop Loss:** Close below $1,620

**Logic:** Institutional staking volume continuously rising (BitMine has staked 100,000+ ETH), 2029 quantum-safe upgrade roadmap provides long-term narrative support, but near-term weakness, requires patience for pullback.

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III. SOL — Current Price $90.9

**Staged Buy-In Zones:**

| Tier | Price Range | Position Size |
|------|----------|----------|
| First | $86 - $88 | 30% |
| Second | $78 - $80 | 40% |
| Third | $68 - $72 | 30% |

**Stop Loss:** Close below $65

**Logic:** High on-chain activity, ecosystem continuously expanding, but volatility significantly higher than BTC/ETH, each tier position shouldn't be too heavy.

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IV. HYPE — Current Price $39.41 (Today -2%)

**Staged Buy-In Zones:**

| Tier | Price Range | Position Size |
|------|----------|----------|
| First | $37 - $38 | 30% |
| Second | $32 - $34 | 40% |
| Third | $27 - $29 | 30% |

**Stop Loss:** Break below $25

**Logic:** Hyperliquid on-chain derivatives protocol narrative is strong, more solid fundamentals compared to other popular new coins, but new narrative coins have high volatility, stop loss must be executed.

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Universal Execution Principles

**Core Logic of Staged Accumulation:**
- Don't go all-in at one price, probability of further decline during extreme fear periods is not low
- After each tier triggers, wait for 1 daily candle close confirmation before buying, avoid false breakout and catching falling knives

**Stop Loss Discipline:**
- Stop loss is not a suggestion, it's a lifeline. In extreme fear markets, not setting stop loss equals trading naked
- Stop loss uniformly based on **daily close price**, ignore intraday wicks

**Position Control:**
- Single coin total position recommended not to exceed 20% of total capital; in extreme cases where all three tiers get filled, your total exposure remains manageable

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Currently most worth watching are **BTC + SOL**, both have strong liquidity and market attention, suitable for pullback strategies.