March 26, 2026

The overall market trend has started to fluctuate slightly again. Bitcoin has fallen back below 70,000, and Ethereum couldn't even stay above 2,200 before dropping. The market has been oscillating for over a month, and I have a familiar feeling—it's like during the long daily updates, I once again feel that there's not much to write about.
The main trend remains bearish, and this shift has been happening for a long time. Although the recent market has indeed been sideways, objectively speaking, we still haven't escaped the bear market. Right now, I just hope for a rebound, even if it's not reaching 90,000, just staying above 80,000 for a month or so would be very good.
Recently, I’ve been extensively backtesting whether grid trading can capture the long-term growth potential of tokens like BTC and ETH. Let me start with something everyone knows: because BTC's price has been rising long-term, as long as you keep dollar-cost averaging over the past few years, you can make a good amount of money—just like MicroStrategy. But the earlier, the better. However, dollar-cost averaging is quite difficult to stick to, and it has a problem: you need to set a good selling price. I will also use quantitative strategies later to test how to do dollar-cost averaging and selling.
Let me share the conclusion of the grid trading strategy backtest: first, the grid strategy is very suitable for long-term trading of BTC and ETH, and ETH's higher volatility means higher profits. Additionally, we must ensure that we always hold coins, meaning we can use grid trading to buy the dip, but we should not be fully short on coins (since prices tend to rise long-term). And here, there is one more point.