Although the war escalated over the weekend, the market didn't experience significant fluctuations.

- Houthi missiles officially struck Israel last night
- Tehran airstrikes continue
- 15 U.S. troops injured at a Saudi base
- The Pentagon confirms preparations for months-long ground operations
- U.S. Treasury demand weakens, with $10 trillion maturing this year
- The largest protest in U.S. history with 8 million participants
Polymarket real-time market
- U.S. troops entering Iran before the end of April: 62%
- Ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran by the end of April: 40%
But the ground forces involved probably won't be to overthrow the regime.
Maybe to open the Strait of Hormuz?
Everyone is waiting for that key variable:
Will the Strait of Hormuz be open?
We’ll see before summer.