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【Breaking Analysis | War Expectations Cool Down, Market Sentiment Suddenly Shifts】
Trump announces: Iran conflict may end within 2-3 weeks.
The market instantly changes face—crude oil plunges about 15%, global stock markets rebound, and risk sentiment clearly improves.
What does this mean for crypto?
Capital flows back into risk assets
Safe-haven funds are starting to withdraw from oil and gold, flowing back into stocks and crypto markets (BTC, ETH have already begun to follow sentiment fluctuations)
Falling oil prices = hidden positive signal
Oil price decline → inflation expectations decrease → supports Bitcoin, which is one of the most underestimated catalysts right now
But don’t rush to look for a bull run⚠️
The war is not truly over yet, risks like the Strait of Hormuz still exist, and short-term market movements will still be “news-driven,” with inevitable sharp fluctuations
Key rhythm:
72K is the watershed → Breakthrough to 75K → Above 80K is the liquidity target zone (also a potential short trap)
Summary in one sentence:
Sentiment is recovering, but it’s not time to blindly go long yet.