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Trump has ridden the tiger—
He can't get off, and doesn't want to~
This war was never his move from the start; Israel set up the board, then asked him to make a move. Now that the pieces are down, the cost of retreating is greater than continuing to play~
What does retreat mean?
Zeroing out Middle East influence, re-aligning oil-producing countries, shaking the dollar-oil system—this isn't just losing a war; it's losing the entire Middle East order established by the U.S. after World War II. The British Empire was once gradually transformed from the "Sun Never Sets" to "No Longer in Control"—
But how likely is victory if they keep fighting?
The key lies in how much of Iran's remaining strength is left. The command system of the Revolutionary Guard, missile stockpiles, nuclear facilities—if these three aren't completely destroyed, the Strait of Hormuz won't automatically open—
Based on the latest speech, Trump hasn't backed down; he's choosing to continue the assault—this is actually the least damaging path right now, even if it's not the best one—
There's only one goal: before voters lose patience, before oil prices crush the economy, achieve the fastest result with the least casualties—
Time is his biggest enemy, speed is his only friend—
Whether the world has a future depends on the coming weeks—
#伊朗战争 #Middle East Geopolitics #特朗普 #Strait of Hormuz