How much impact will the US-Iran conflict have on the crypto market?! Follow these key time points closely with Ayue!

1. Most critical: Trump’s ultimatum on the afternoon of April 6 (U.S. Eastern Time) + a press conference (the biggest impact, directly setting the short-term trend). On the evening of April 7 at 8:00 PM (Beijing time, Wednesday 8:00 AM), “Chuanzi” said harsh words—if they can’t reach an agreement, he’ll blow up YL’s power plants, bridges, and even the entire country. He also doesn’t rule out deploying ground troops!
Impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum:
The press conference says soft words = bullish; short-term rebound;
Hard words/ultimatum followed by action = bearish (negative), first dump then a small rebound; volatility starts at at least 5 points.

2. Second key: Developments in the Strait of Hormuz (energy linkage, indirectly impacting the crypto market). YL said it would open the strait and collect “ship tax” as compensation for losses, and also threatened to cut off shipping through the Strait of Mand. Although ships can pass through for now, the risk hasn’t gone away.
Impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum:
Once the strait is locked down, oil prices will surge, global risk sentiment will panic and plunge, and Bitcoin and Ethereum will be hit first and hardest;
If navigation remains normal, the crypto prices will have one less downward catalyst.

3. Important: Israel’s latest developments on April 6. Israel has already killed a core figure of YL, and has also set a strike list with the United States. It essentially doesn’t look favorably on negotiations, and is preparing for large-scale attacks on YL’s energy facilities.
Impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum:
Israel taking action = escalation of the conflict; market panic sentiment is maximized. Bitcoin and Ethereum will both face downward pressure, and Ethereum’s drop is very likely to be larger than Bitcoin’s.

4. Auxiliary reference: Details of the direct US-Iran confrontation (limited impact, mainly adds emotion). Between April 5 and 6, it was gradually disclosed that the U.S. military withdrew over a thousand personnel from Bahrain. During rescue operations, there were casualties on both sides; YL also responded forcefully—using drones and missiles to counterattack U.S.-U.S.-Israel targets, and also bombing energy facilities in the Gulf.
Impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum: Only intensifies market panic sentiment; it won’t dominate the trend. The main thing is still to watch the 3 key messages above #加密市场行情震荡 $BTC