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Two-week ceasefire = two-week bull market? Don't be naive; this could be the market's biggest "false move"!
On April 8, Donald Trump’s statement of a "two-week ceasefire" immediately gave global markets a collective sigh of relief. But note, this kind of "time-limited peace" is more like a market buffer rather than a signal of trend reversal.
Let's answer the core question:
Will the war end completely? Not in the short term. Middle Eastern conflicts have never been "stop-and-go"; they are more like an ongoing series that can resume at any time. And the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz? Likely a phased recovery, but full stability is still early.
How will the market move?
WTI crude oil plummeted 11.91%, indicating that the previous "war premium" was quickly squeezed out. But note, this is not a bear market, just a sentiment correction.
Investment strategy:
* Crude Oil: Short-term sideways oscillation, avoid chasing shorts
* Bitcoin: Strong breakout above 71k, sentiment bullishness underway
* Gold and Silver: Safe-haven logic hasn't disappeared, continue to stay relatively strong
One sentence summary: This is not "all in" now, but "defend with the left hand, probe with the right."
#Gate广场四月发帖挑战