Friday Afternoon Jingyi Trading Strategy Analysis

Tonight at 20:30, we will focus on March CPI. Market expectations are for the annual rate to rise from 2.4% to 3.3%, and pressures from an inflation rebound are intensifying.
Oil prices retreat from high levels, and energy inflation cools; tariffs lift import costs, pushing structural inflation higher—creating a tug-of-war in both directions.

CPI comes in above expectations → rate cuts are completely out of the question; the Federal Reserve may restart expectations of rate hikes, and BTC’s liquidity tightens under pressure, leading to a sharp drop.
CPI matches the 3.3% high → after choppy back-and-forth, it weakens; and this figure is already a discounted/relatively low data point, making the negative impact even more significant.
CPI comes in below expectations → rate-cut expectations rebound, and the big BTC strengthens.

The only upside: Middle East tensions ease, and April inflation may see a turning point decline; the current downside may be the last leg down.

Core strategy:
Don’t bet on short-term CPI data; closely track ceasefire expectations on the geopolitical front. CPI is historical data—only the war situation determines the long-term trend.

Trading Suggestions
Short on rallies. Short BTC in the 720-726 range, with levels to watch below 705-690.
For ETH, short the 2215-2200 range; watch below 2160-2100.

During the overnight data window, price swings are extremely volatile—be sure to strictly control position and risk.#Gate上线Pre-IPOs