Brothers, the CPI data is out, up 3.3% year-on-year, fully in line with expectations, and the bearish trigger has officially landed.

Bitcoin still fluctuates around 72,000, with nearly a 7% increase over the past week. Clearly, the market has already priced in the bad news as good news in advance. But don’t get complacent—on the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the tightest range since 2024. Experienced traders know that after such a pattern, there’s often at least a 40% large-scale directional move.

What’s truly concerning is the weekend US-Iran negotiations.

Iran’s internal situation is already turbulent; moderates advocate negotiations, hardliners accuse them of “treason” and arrest people, plus the Supreme Leader is absent, making substantive progress unlikely. If negotiations collapse, oil prices will spike, inflation will rebound, and the crypto market will likely face pressure; if an unexpected consensus is reached, it’s a major bullish signal.

Now, don’t blindly bet on the direction—wait for clear market signals before acting. Better to earn less than miss out or take unnecessary risks.

Would you like me to prepare a shorter, social-media-friendly version? #原油小幅上涨