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⛳ Prediction market bets are going wild: Rory's chances of winning surge to 70%
The latest data from the prediction market shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Rory McIlroy winning the 2026 Golf Masters" has risen to 70%, a 46% increase over 24 hours.
Currently, the total trading volume of this event contract has exceeded $107 million, with market participation clearly heating up.
📊 Event progress:
This year's 90th Golf Masters is taking place at Augusta National Golf Club.
Rory McIlroy scored 67 in the first round, tied for the lead with Sam Burns
Jason Day, Kurt Kitayama, and Patrick Reed scored 69, tied for third
Chinese player Li Haotong scored 71, currently tied for 10th place
📌 Contract rules:
Final settlement will be based on the official champion announced by the event, and if a player is eliminated, the related market will settle as "No."
📈 My observations:
The value of prediction markets is not just "betting on who will win," but reflects real-time global capital's probability assessment of event outcomes.
An increasing amount of capital is participating in on-chain prediction markets for sports, politics, and macro events.
Follow me to understand the capital logic and crypto narratives behind prediction markets. 🚀📊#Gate上线Pre-IPOs #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 #加密市场回升 #Canary提交现货PEPEET申请 $BAS