ETH Trading Error Root Cause—Direct Hit

I put the core logic of trading in the wrong order:

- First I watched short-term small fluctuations to guess the top and short, completely ignoring the underlying structure that the daily chart’s large cycle has already V-shaped reversed, and the bullish trend is fully established
​
- I split the dual-cycle resonance signal, made blind judgments based only on 4-hour local consolidation, and ignored bullish resonance across all dimensions of volume and price, moving averages, and MACD
​
- I didn’t strictly follow the iron rule of “the big cycle determines the direction, the small cycle finds the entry points.” I guessed turning points against the trend, which directly led to the direction being completely wrong and caused a major drop in win rate