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Just stumbled across something that's been living rent-free in my head for the past few days. You know how everyone's always trying to time the market perfectly? Well, back in 1875, this American farmer named Samuel Benner figured out something pretty wild about economic cycles that honestly still holds up today.
So here's the thing - Benner noticed that markets don't just move randomly. He identified these recurring patterns where you get specific periods when to make money. He basically mapped out three types of years that keep repeating: years when panic hits and everything crashes, years when things boom and prices peak, and years when everything's cheap and you should be loading up.
The fascinating part? The intervals are surprisingly consistent. Panic cycles show up roughly every 16-18 years. Then you've got these prosperity windows hitting every 9-11 years. And the buying opportunities? Those come around every 7-10 years. It's like the market's got its own rhythm if you know how to read it.
What really caught my attention is looking at his predictions through today's lens. He mapped out specific years - 2023 was flagged as a major buying opportunity according to his theory. Then 2026 (which is literally right now, by the way) was marked as a peak year for selling and taking profits. And here's where it gets interesting - 2035 shows up on both the panic list AND the prosperity list, which could mean a pretty dramatic shift.
The strategy Benner laid out is pretty straightforward: you buy during those hard times when prices are crushed, you hold through the recovery, and you sell into the strength when the boom periods hit. Then you sit tight and wait for the next crash to buy again.
I'm not saying this is gospel or anything, but it's wild how relevant these periods when to make money still are after 150 years. Whether you're looking at crypto cycles, stock markets, or commodities, there's definitely something to understanding these macro rhythms. Definitely worth keeping on your radar if you're trying to be more intentional about when you actually deploy capital.
The whole point Benner made was to save that framework and watch it closely. Kind of makes you think about where we actually are in the current cycle, doesn't it?