Will crude oil continue to rise? Can crypto still surge? The key factor this time depends on one variable!

Currently, all market issues can actually be boiled down to one variable:
— Will the situation escalate?
If it does not escalate:
✔ Crude oil remains volatile at high levels
✔ Crypto continues to recover
✔ Gold stabilizes and returns to normal
If it does escalate:
✔ Crude oil keeps pushing higher
✔ Risk assets come under pressure
✔ Gold strengthens
So the key is not to judge whether it will go up or down, but to judge—
the probability.
Currently, the market is betting on “it will not escalate.”
That’s also why:
✔ Crypto is rising
✔ Risk appetite is warming
But the problem is, if this bet is wrong, the pullback will happen quickly.
So, the one thing to do in your allocation is:
— Keep a backup plan.
✔ Don’t fully commit
✔ Hedge your positions
✔ Keep cash on hand
In a nutshell:
You can be optimistic, but you must leave an escape route. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 #