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Today's Highlights:
1. Event Impact Analysis
Occurred Event: On April 14th, a breakout was triggered by a short squeeze, and the US-Iran ceasefire expectations diluted safe-haven demand. The market nature is more of a short squeeze than a reversal; the $75,000 mark is a hard resistance, and the support at $70,000 has been tested for validity.
Today's Focus: The March PPI data released at 20:30 tonight. Last month's PPI exceeded expectations, pushing prices below $66,000. If inflation persistence is confirmed tonight, it will suppress expectations of interest rate cuts and weaken the macro-driven rebound foundation.
Key for Tomorrow: French President Macron will deliver a speech at Paris Blockchain Week. This is the first time a G7 current leader has spoken at a digital asset event, likely providing short-term sentiment boosts, but without substantial liquidity injection.
Weekend Variables: On April 22nd, there is a potential escalation window in US-Iran tensions, and geopolitical risk premiums will be re-included in pricing.
2. Positioning Recommendations
Currently caught between "short squeeze sentiment" and "macro suppression." Until the $75,000 level is firmly held, treat this as a rebound rather than a reversal. Long positions can set take-profit levels around $75,000 for phased profit-taking; consider re-entering on dips if the price tests $71,500 without breaking below. Short positions should wait for PPI data to confirm direction; if the data is bearish but the price remains resilient, the short thesis invalidates. Overall, keep positions below half, as geopolitical risk premiums have not fully cleared, and any unilateral bets have unfavorable risk-reward ratios. #WCTC交易赛瓜分800万USDT $BTC