1. Long Strategy (Buy on Dips)

Ideal Entry Point: Wait for the price to retrace to the $69,000–$70,000 range, and show signs of volume decline and a bottoming signal (such as 4H RSI bullish divergence).

Risk Management: Set stop-loss below $68,000, with targets at $73,000–$74,000.

Taboo: Strictly avoid chasing the rally near the current price of $74,400, as it is very easy to get caught at a high level.

2. Short Strategy (Sell on Rallies)

Ideal Entry Point: If the price rebounds to $74,500–$75,000 and shows signs of stagnation (such as upper shadow, decreasing volume), consider a small short position.

Risk Management: Set stop-loss above $76,500, with targets at $71,000–$72,000.

3. Breakout Strategy

If volume increases and the price stabilizes above $75,500, consider a pullback buy, with a target of $78,000.

If volume drops and the price breaks below $68,000, the trend turns bearish, and you should exit and wait on the sidelines.

⚠️ Risk Control and Reminders

Position Management: Limit risk per trade to 1–2% of total capital; leverage should not be excessive.

News Focus: Keep a close eye on geopolitical developments (Strait of Hormuz situation) and US ETF capital flows, as these are the main drivers of recent volatility.