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◦ Support levels: $2,130–$2,150 (strong support), $2,080–$2,100 (defense bottom line)

◦ Resistance levels: $2,230–$2,250 (intraday pressure), $2,280–$2,300 (strong resistance zone)

1. Macro liquidity tightening (core)

◦ Federal Reserve delays rate cuts, US bond yields rise, dollar strengthens

◦ Risk appetite declines, funds flow out of the crypto market back into safe-haven assets

2. Institutional funds withdraw

◦ Ethereum ETF shifts from net inflow to net outflow

◦ Whales continue transferring ETH to exchanges for selling

3. Technical and market sentiment

◦ High-level trapped positions, selling pressure concentrated

◦ Leverage contract liquidations accelerate decline

• Medium to long term: technical upgrades (Pectra, Glamsterdam) and institutional fund inflows are potential catalysts

Currently, ETH is in a game of macro bearishness versus technical optimism, with a short-term bias toward bearishness, and a medium to long-term outlook of upgrade realization and fund inflows.