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【$SIREN Signal】Beware of the bullish-to-bearish reversal after extreme overbought conditions
$SIREN 1H level RSI soared to 91.68, and the 4H level even hit 92.68, indicating buying power is severely overextended. The 4H Bollinger Band upper band was directly pierced, with the price far exceeding the upper band by 2.13, a typical overbought stretch. Although the MACD double cycle is expanding, the histogram on the 1-hour chart has already started to flatten, showing signs of momentum exhaustion. The order book depth is unbalanced at 9.31%, and selling pressure is building up. The funding rate is -0.131%, indicating high short-position costs, but the price remains stubbornly high. Such strong performance under negative funding rates often signals a fierce shift between bulls and bears.
🎯Direction: Wait and see (look for a pullback or breakout signal)
⚡Entry/Order placement: Aggressive traders can attempt short positions in the 1.85-1.90 range after the price effectively breaks below 1.975 (recent 1H support). Conservative traders should wait for a rebound to the 2.10-2.13 range and face resistance before considering.
🛑Stop loss: 2.18
🚀Target 1: 1.65
🚀Target 2: 1.45
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: If entering a short position, reduce half of the position after reaching Target 1, and move the remaining stop loss down to the entry price. If the price rebounds and breaks above the previous high and stabilizes, the bearish logic invalidates, and a prompt exit is required.
This game after extreme overbought conditions does not offer a friendly risk-reward ratio. Waiting for a clear 1H top formation or a long upper shadow is much safer than blindly chasing highs or guessing tops. The current price is near the upper end of the suggested entry zone; chasing the rally directly carries much higher risk than potential reward.
Check real-time market 👇 $SIREN
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