US CPI data is an important indicator for measuring inflation and price levels, and it is of great significance to the government, businesses, and consumers. Market expectations are that the US May CPI data will be released on Wednesday evening (June 12th). Here are some institutions and analysts' expectations for US May CPI data:

- JPMorgan Chase: If the month-on-month growth rate of core CPI exceeds 0.4%, all risk assets may be sold off, leading to a 1.5% to 2.5% drop in the S&P 500. However, the bank believes that this possibility is only 5%.
- Citibank: Investors are preparing for the big ups and downs in the market on the Fed decision day& CPI release day, which could be the largest single-day stock market fluctuation since the Silicon Valley bank crisis in March 2023.
- New York Fed: According to its May 2024 Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE), respondents' inflation expectations for different horizons diverged. The median one-year-ahead inflation expectations fell from 3.3% in April to 3.2%. The median three-year-ahead inflation expectations remained unchanged at 2.8%, while the five-year-ahead measure rose from 2.8% to 3.0%, the last time it recorded 3% was in August 2023.
- Market expectations: The core CPI in the United States is expected to rise by 0.3% month-on-month in May, and the overall CPI rate will remain at 3.4%, with the core indicator slightly slowing to 3.5%.

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